Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 14일 텔아비브에서 가장 높은 온도는?
7월 14일 텔아비브에서 가장 높은 온도는?
32°C 55%
31°C 38%
33°C 9%
30°C 1.1%
신규
$14,240 거래량
신규
$14,240 거래량
2026.07.14
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
38%
32°C
55%
33°C
9%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 55%
31°C 38%
33°C 9%
30°C 1.1%
신규
$14,240 거래량
신규
$14,240 거래량
2026.07.14
28°C or below
$412 거래량
<1%
29°C
$477 거래량
<1%
30°C
$1,927 거래량
1%
31°C
$2,797 거래량
38%
32°C
$3,930 거래량
55%
33°C
$1,746 거래량
9%
34°C
$1,479 거래량
<1%
35°C
$721 거래량
<1%
36°C
$162 거래량
<1%
37°C
$203 거래량
<1%
38°C or higher
$386 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
거래량
$14,240종료일
2026.07.14마켓 개설일
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$14,240종료일
2026.07.14마켓 개설일
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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