Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers show Warsaw under a moderately unstable air mass on July 14, with thundershowers and increased cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating near 24–26°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 24°C (33.5%) and 25°C (25.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Climatologically, mid-July averages hover near 25°C, but recent regional patterns suggest limited warm advection from the south. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 14일 바르샤바에서 가장 높은 기온?
7월 14일 바르샤바에서 가장 높은 기온?
26°C 44%
25°C 30%
27°C 17.3%
24°C 10.5%
신규
$28,883 거래량
신규
$28,883 거래량
2026.07.14
18°C 이하
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
30%
26°C
44%
27°C
17%
28°C 이상
2%
26°C 44%
25°C 30%
27°C 17.3%
24°C 10.5%
신규
$28,883 거래량
신규
$28,883 거래량
2026.07.14
18°C 이하
$741 거래량
<1%
19°C
$881 거래량
<1%
20°C
$2,104 거래량
<1%
21°C
$3,462 거래량
<1%
22°C
$3,356 거래량
<1%
23°C
$4,253 거래량
2%
24°C
$3,088 거래량
11%
25°C
$2,727 거래량
30%
26°C
$1,719 거래량
44%
27°C
$2,241 거래량
17%
28°C 이상
$4,353 거래량
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers show Warsaw under a moderately unstable air mass on July 14, with thundershowers and increased cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating near 24–26°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 24°C (33.5%) and 25°C (25.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Climatologically, mid-July averages hover near 25°C, but recent regional patterns suggest limited warm advection from the south. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
거래량
$28,883종료일
2026.07.14마켓 개설일
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers show Warsaw under a moderately unstable air mass on July 14, with thundershowers and increased cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating near 24–26°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 24°C (33.5%) and 25°C (25.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Climatologically, mid-July averages hover near 25°C, but recent regional patterns suggest limited warm advection from the south. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$28,883종료일
2026.07.14마켓 개설일
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETForecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers show Warsaw under a moderately unstable air mass on July 14, with thundershowers and increased cloud cover expected to cap daytime heating near 24–26°C. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 24°C (33.5%) and 25°C (25.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Climatologically, mid-July averages hover near 25°C, but recent regional patterns suggest limited warm advection from the south. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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