Recent official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and European models point to a daily maximum near 21–22 °C in Warsaw on July 9, following the early-July moderation after late-June heatwave records. This positioning stems from a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to Atlantic air advection, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that limit daytime heating. Ensemble runs cluster tightly around these values, with small timing differences in clearing skies or wind shifts able to swing the peak by 1–2 °C and explain why 20 °C leads at 35 % implied probability while 22 °C or higher sits near 15 %. Historical July averages near 24 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns favor the cooler side of the distribution ahead of the next model updates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 9?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 9?
20°C 36%
21°C 27%
19°C 13%
22°C or higher 9.5%
신규
신규
2026.07.09
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
13%
20°C
36%
21°C
27%
22°C or higher
10%
20°C 36%
21°C 27%
19°C 13%
22°C or higher 9.5%
신규
신규
2026.07.09
12°C or below
$34 거래량
<1%
13°C
$25 거래량
<1%
14°C
$22 거래량
<1%
15°C
$18 거래량
<1%
16°C
$173 거래량
<1%
17°C
$75 거래량
1%
18°C
$96 거래량
4%
19°C
$5 거래량
13%
20°C
$220 거래량
36%
21°C
$58 거래량
27%
22°C or higher
$1 거래량
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and European models point to a daily maximum near 21–22 °C in Warsaw on July 9, following the early-July moderation after late-June heatwave records. This positioning stems from a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to Atlantic air advection, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that limit daytime heating. Ensemble runs cluster tightly around these values, with small timing differences in clearing skies or wind shifts able to swing the peak by 1–2 °C and explain why 20 °C leads at 35 % implied probability while 22 °C or higher sits near 15 %. Historical July averages near 24 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns favor the cooler side of the distribution ahead of the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$729종료일
2026.07.09마켓 개설일
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and European models point to a daily maximum near 21–22 °C in Warsaw on July 9, following the early-July moderation after late-June heatwave records. This positioning stems from a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to Atlantic air advection, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that limit daytime heating. Ensemble runs cluster tightly around these values, with small timing differences in clearing skies or wind shifts able to swing the peak by 1–2 °C and explain why 20 °C leads at 35 % implied probability while 22 °C or higher sits near 15 %. Historical July averages near 24 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns favor the cooler side of the distribution ahead of the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$729종료일
2026.07.09마켓 개설일
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent official forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and European models point to a daily maximum near 21–22 °C in Warsaw on July 9, following the early-July moderation after late-June heatwave records. This positioning stems from a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to Atlantic air advection, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation chances that limit daytime heating. Ensemble runs cluster tightly around these values, with small timing differences in clearing skies or wind shifts able to swing the peak by 1–2 °C and explain why 20 °C leads at 35 % implied probability while 22 °C or higher sits near 15 %. Historical July averages near 24 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns favor the cooler side of the distribution ahead of the next model updates.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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