Iranian officials have prioritized economic stabilization and internal security measures in recent weeks to mitigate risks of unrest amid ongoing pressures from inflation, unemployment, and external blockades following the February 2026 leadership transition. No verified coup signals or elite defections have emerged since early April rumors of factional tensions between the IRGC and moderates, which failed to materialize into action. The regime's institutional structures, including clerical oversight of security forces, have demonstrated resilience against protests from late 2025 into May 2026, with opposition figures urging restraint rather than mobilization. Russian assistance in military reconstitution and the absence of large-scale uprisings further support trader expectations of continuity through June 30.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$1,122,908 거래량
$1,122,908 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$1,122,908 거래량
$1,122,908 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iranian officials have prioritized economic stabilization and internal security measures in recent weeks to mitigate risks of unrest amid ongoing pressures from inflation, unemployment, and external blockades following the February 2026 leadership transition. No verified coup signals or elite defections have emerged since early April rumors of factional tensions between the IRGC and moderates, which failed to materialize into action. The regime's institutional structures, including clerical oversight of security forces, have demonstrated resilience against protests from late 2025 into May 2026, with opposition figures urging restraint rather than mobilization. Russian assistance in military reconstitution and the absence of large-scale uprisings further support trader expectations of continuity through June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
거래량
$1,122,908종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iranian officials have prioritized economic stabilization and internal security measures in recent weeks to mitigate risks of unrest amid ongoing pressures from inflation, unemployment, and external blockades following the February 2026 leadership transition. No verified coup signals or elite defections have emerged since early April rumors of factional tensions between the IRGC and moderates, which failed to materialize into action. The regime's institutional structures, including clerical oversight of security forces, have demonstrated resilience against protests from late 2025 into May 2026, with opposition figures urging restraint rather than mobilization. Russian assistance in military reconstitution and the absence of large-scale uprisings further support trader expectations of continuity through June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,122,908종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian officials have prioritized economic stabilization and internal security measures in recent weeks to mitigate risks of unrest amid ongoing pressures from inflation, unemployment, and external blockades following the February 2026 leadership transition. No verified coup signals or elite defections have emerged since early April rumors of factional tensions between the IRGC and moderates, which failed to materialize into action. The regime's institutional structures, including clerical oversight of security forces, have demonstrated resilience against protests from late 2025 into May 2026, with opposition figures urging restraint rather than mobilization. Russian assistance in military reconstitution and the absence of large-scale uprisings further support trader expectations of continuity through June 30.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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