The Supreme Leader of Iran issues public statements through his verified social media account at irregular intervals, often separated by several days or more, reflecting institutional preferences for selective messaging on foreign policy and ideological topics. This established pattern of low-volume output explains the market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts during the May 12–19 window. Recent activity through mid-May shows no surge tied to major diplomatic developments or domestic events, keeping volumes aligned with historical baselines. Only an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions or a high-profile announcement would realistically increase activity before the period ends, though such triggers remain absent from current verified developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
<5 94%
5-9 2.3%
15-19 2.3%
10-14 1.5%
$11,970 거래량
$11,970 거래량
2026.05.19
<5
94%
5-9
2%
10-14
1%
15-19
2%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 94%
5-9 2.3%
15-19 2.3%
10-14 1.5%
$11,970 거래량
$11,970 거래량
2026.05.19
<5
$2,331 거래량
94%
5-9
$2,064 거래량
2%
10-14
$981 거래량
1%
15-19
$1,493 거래량
2%
20-24
$946 거래량
1%
25-29
$401 거래량
<1%
30-34
$458 거래량
1%
35-39
$443 거래량
<1%
40-44
$596 거래량
<1%
45-49
$484 거래량
<1%
50-54
$498 거래량
<1%
55-59
$609 거래량
<1%
60+
$666 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The Supreme Leader of Iran issues public statements through his verified social media account at irregular intervals, often separated by several days or more, reflecting institutional preferences for selective messaging on foreign policy and ideological topics. This established pattern of low-volume output explains the market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts during the May 12–19 window. Recent activity through mid-May shows no surge tied to major diplomatic developments or domestic events, keeping volumes aligned with historical baselines. Only an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions or a high-profile announcement would realistically increase activity before the period ends, though such triggers remain absent from current verified developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET
거래량
$11,970종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The Supreme Leader of Iran issues public statements through his verified social media account at irregular intervals, often separated by several days or more, reflecting institutional preferences for selective messaging on foreign policy and ideological topics. This established pattern of low-volume output explains the market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts during the May 12–19 window. Recent activity through mid-May shows no surge tied to major diplomatic developments or domestic events, keeping volumes aligned with historical baselines. Only an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions or a high-profile announcement would realistically increase activity before the period ends, though such triggers remain absent from current verified developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$11,970종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Supreme Leader of Iran issues public statements through his verified social media account at irregular intervals, often separated by several days or more, reflecting institutional preferences for selective messaging on foreign policy and ideological topics. This established pattern of low-volume output explains the market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts during the May 12–19 window. Recent activity through mid-May shows no surge tied to major diplomatic developments or domestic events, keeping volumes aligned with historical baselines. Only an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions or a high-profile announcement would realistically increase activity before the period ends, though such triggers remain absent from current verified developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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