The @khamenei_ir account maintains a pattern of infrequent posting during Iran's ongoing leadership transition following the February 2026 events, driving trader consensus toward fewer than five posts in the May 15-22 period. This interval has featured alternating short bursts on regional security topics and extended quiet stretches without new announcements. Recent activity in early May on issues like the Persian Gulf established a baseline but did not sustain high volume. Absent immediate escalations in diplomatic negotiations or military postures, the account's operators appear inclined toward restraint, aligning with historical precedents of measured communication from Iranian leadership institutions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Khamenei # posts 2026년 5월 15일 - 5월 22일?
Khamenei # posts 2026년 5월 15일 - 5월 22일?
<5 50%
5~9 8%
55~59 7.2%
10-14 1.1%
신규
신규
2026.05.22
<5
50%
5~9
26%
10-14
22%
15~19
22%
20~24
15%
25-29
11%
30-34
15%
35~39
1%
40~44
1%
45~49
1%
50-54
5%
55~59
7%
60+
<1%
<5 50%
5~9 8%
55~59 7.2%
10-14 1.1%
신규
신규
2026.05.22
<5
$297 거래량
50%
5~9
$81 거래량
26%
10-14
$90 거래량
22%
15~19
$63 거래량
22%
20~24
$59 거래량
15%
25-29
$59 거래량
11%
30-34
$120 거래량
15%
35~39
$88 거래량
1%
40~44
$190 거래량
1%
45~49
$120 거래량
1%
50-54
$197 거래량
5%
55~59
$179 거래량
7%
60+
$338 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account maintains a pattern of infrequent posting during Iran's ongoing leadership transition following the February 2026 events, driving trader consensus toward fewer than five posts in the May 15-22 period. This interval has featured alternating short bursts on regional security topics and extended quiet stretches without new announcements. Recent activity in early May on issues like the Persian Gulf established a baseline but did not sustain high volume. Absent immediate escalations in diplomatic negotiations or military postures, the account's operators appear inclined toward restraint, aligning with historical precedents of measured communication from Iranian leadership institutions.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
거래량
$1,879종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account maintains a pattern of infrequent posting during Iran's ongoing leadership transition following the February 2026 events, driving trader consensus toward fewer than five posts in the May 15-22 period. This interval has featured alternating short bursts on regional security topics and extended quiet stretches without new announcements. Recent activity in early May on issues like the Persian Gulf established a baseline but did not sustain high volume. Absent immediate escalations in diplomatic negotiations or military postures, the account's operators appear inclined toward restraint, aligning with historical precedents of measured communication from Iranian leadership institutions.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$1,879종료일
2026.05.22마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The @khamenei_ir account maintains a pattern of infrequent posting during Iran's ongoing leadership transition following the February 2026 events, driving trader consensus toward fewer than five posts in the May 15-22 period. This interval has featured alternating short bursts on regional security topics and extended quiet stretches without new announcements. Recent activity in early May on issues like the Persian Gulf established a baseline but did not sustain high volume. Absent immediate escalations in diplomatic negotiations or military postures, the account's operators appear inclined toward restraint, aligning with historical precedents of measured communication from Iranian leadership institutions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문