Kentucky's 6th congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr retired to pursue a Senate bid, creating a general election matchup between Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo following their May 19, 2026 primaries. The district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, though it encompasses Lexington and surrounding areas that introduce some Democratic strength. Early general election polling shows narrow margins or statistical ties between the nominees, while nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican. These elements shape trader consensus around a modest Republican edge ahead of the November 3 contest, tempered by the open-seat dynamics and the district's relatively moderate profile within the state.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트KY-06 House Election Winner
KY-06 House Election Winner
$28,246 거래량
$28,246 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
29%
$28,246 거래량
$28,246 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$10,969 거래량
72%
Democratic Party
$17,277 거래량
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr retired to pursue a Senate bid, creating a general election matchup between Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo following their May 19, 2026 primaries. The district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, though it encompasses Lexington and surrounding areas that introduce some Democratic strength. Early general election polling shows narrow margins or statistical ties between the nominees, while nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican. These elements shape trader consensus around a modest Republican edge ahead of the November 3 contest, tempered by the open-seat dynamics and the district's relatively moderate profile within the state.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$28,246종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr retired to pursue a Senate bid, creating a general election matchup between Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo following their May 19, 2026 primaries. The district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, though it encompasses Lexington and surrounding areas that introduce some Democratic strength. Early general election polling shows narrow margins or statistical ties between the nominees, while nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican. These elements shape trader consensus around a modest Republican edge ahead of the November 3 contest, tempered by the open-seat dynamics and the district's relatively moderate profile within the state.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$28,246종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 6th congressional district features an open seat after incumbent Republican Andy Barr retired to pursue a Senate bid, creating a general election matchup between Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo following their May 19, 2026 primaries. The district carries an R+7 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, though it encompasses Lexington and surrounding areas that introduce some Democratic strength. Early general election polling shows narrow margins or statistical ties between the nominees, while nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican. These elements shape trader consensus around a modest Republican edge ahead of the November 3 contest, tempered by the open-seat dynamics and the district's relatively moderate profile within the state.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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