Recent polling from March and April 2026 shows Latvia First (LPV) holding a narrow lead in voter intentions while New Unity (JV) has slipped amid coalition fatigue, keeping their implied probabilities nearly even at 31.5% and 30%. The Progressives (PRO) and National Alliance (NA) trail closely as opposition and nationalist forces consolidate support, with smaller parties clustered near the 5% Saeima threshold. High levels of undecided voters and the multi-party system's focus on post-election alliances sustain the tight race rather than any single dominant contender. Fresh surveys, economic indicators, or emerging pre-electoral pacts could shift momentum by clarifying viable government coalitions ahead of the October vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트LPV 32%
JV 29%
PLO 16.8%
NA 16%
$80,779 거래량
$80,779 거래량
2026.10.03
LPV
32%
JV
28%
PLO
17%
NA
16%
AS
8%
SV
7%
ST!
3%
S
1%
ZZS
<1%
LPV 32%
JV 29%
PLO 16.8%
NA 16%
$80,779 거래량
$80,779 거래량
2026.10.03
LPV
$3,745 거래량
32%
JV
$6,187 거래량
28%
PLO
$12,867 거래량
17%
NA
$2,806 거래량
16%
AS
$3,911 거래량
8%
SV
$1,082 거래량
7%
ST!
$741 거래량
3%
S
$704 거래량
1%
ZZS
$48,736 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polling from March and April 2026 shows Latvia First (LPV) holding a narrow lead in voter intentions while New Unity (JV) has slipped amid coalition fatigue, keeping their implied probabilities nearly even at 31.5% and 30%. The Progressives (PRO) and National Alliance (NA) trail closely as opposition and nationalist forces consolidate support, with smaller parties clustered near the 5% Saeima threshold. High levels of undecided voters and the multi-party system's focus on post-election alliances sustain the tight race rather than any single dominant contender. Fresh surveys, economic indicators, or emerging pre-electoral pacts could shift momentum by clarifying viable government coalitions ahead of the October vote.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
거래량
$80,779종료일
2026.10.03마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polling from March and April 2026 shows Latvia First (LPV) holding a narrow lead in voter intentions while New Unity (JV) has slipped amid coalition fatigue, keeping their implied probabilities nearly even at 31.5% and 30%. The Progressives (PRO) and National Alliance (NA) trail closely as opposition and nationalist forces consolidate support, with smaller parties clustered near the 5% Saeima threshold. High levels of undecided voters and the multi-party system's focus on post-election alliances sustain the tight race rather than any single dominant contender. Fresh surveys, economic indicators, or emerging pre-electoral pacts could shift momentum by clarifying viable government coalitions ahead of the October vote.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
거래량
$80,779종료일
2026.10.03마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from March and April 2026 shows Latvia First (LPV) holding a narrow lead in voter intentions while New Unity (JV) has slipped amid coalition fatigue, keeping their implied probabilities nearly even at 31.5% and 30%. The Progressives (PRO) and National Alliance (NA) trail closely as opposition and nationalist forces consolidate support, with smaller parties clustered near the 5% Saeima threshold. High levels of undecided voters and the multi-party system's focus on post-election alliances sustain the tight race rather than any single dominant contender. Fresh surveys, economic indicators, or emerging pre-electoral pacts could shift momentum by clarifying viable government coalitions ahead of the October vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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