Julia Letlow leads the Republican field for the Louisiana U.S. Senate nomination with an 89.5% implied probability, reflecting her first-place finish in the May 16 primary with roughly 45% of the vote. President Trump’s endorsement helped her consolidate support among primary voters opposed to incumbent Bill Cassidy, who received about 25% after his 2021 impeachment vote against Trump. State Treasurer John Fleming, the other runoff qualifier at 28%, trails in the June 27 contest as traders assess Letlow’s stronger polling among the party’s base and her established path through the state’s majority-vote runoff system. No other candidate exceeds 0.1% in current pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트줄리아 렛로우 90%
존 플레밍 9.6%
빌 캐시디 <1%
줄리 에머슨 <1%
$364,808 거래량
$364,808 거래량
2026.05.16
줄리아 렛로우
90%
존 플레밍
10%
빌 캐시디
<1%
줄리 에머슨
<1%
블레이크 미게즈
<1%
Kathy Seiden
<1%
에릭 스크메타
<1%
사무엘 "새미" 와이어트
<1%
랜달 애링턴
<1%
트레이시 덴디
<1%
크리스 홀더
<1%
잔 존
<1%
줄리아 렛로우 90%
존 플레밍 9.6%
빌 캐시디 <1%
줄리 에머슨 <1%
$364,808 거래량
$364,808 거래량
2026.05.16
줄리아 렛로우
$56,193 거래량
90%
존 플레밍
$80,825 거래량
10%
빌 캐시디
$66,300 거래량
<1%
줄리 에머슨
$37,342 거래량
<1%
블레이크 미게즈
$24,964 거래량
<1%
Kathy Seiden
$11,888 거래량
<1%
에릭 스크메타
$15,997 거래량
<1%
사무엘 "새미" 와이어트
$12,205 거래량
<1%
랜달 애링턴
$18,702 거래량
<1%
트레이시 덴디
$20,095 거래량
<1%
크리스 홀더
$9,207 거래량
<1%
잔 존
$11,091 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Julia Letlow leads the Republican field for the Louisiana U.S. Senate nomination with an 89.5% implied probability, reflecting her first-place finish in the May 16 primary with roughly 45% of the vote. President Trump’s endorsement helped her consolidate support among primary voters opposed to incumbent Bill Cassidy, who received about 25% after his 2021 impeachment vote against Trump. State Treasurer John Fleming, the other runoff qualifier at 28%, trails in the June 27 contest as traders assess Letlow’s stronger polling among the party’s base and her established path through the state’s majority-vote runoff system. No other candidate exceeds 0.1% in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET
거래량
$364,808종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Julia Letlow leads the Republican field for the Louisiana U.S. Senate nomination with an 89.5% implied probability, reflecting her first-place finish in the May 16 primary with roughly 45% of the vote. President Trump’s endorsement helped her consolidate support among primary voters opposed to incumbent Bill Cassidy, who received about 25% after his 2021 impeachment vote against Trump. State Treasurer John Fleming, the other runoff qualifier at 28%, trails in the June 27 contest as traders assess Letlow’s stronger polling among the party’s base and her established path through the state’s majority-vote runoff system. No other candidate exceeds 0.1% in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
거래량
$364,808종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Julia Letlow leads the Republican field for the Louisiana U.S. Senate nomination with an 89.5% implied probability, reflecting her first-place finish in the May 16 primary with roughly 45% of the vote. President Trump’s endorsement helped her consolidate support among primary voters opposed to incumbent Bill Cassidy, who received about 25% after his 2021 impeachment vote against Trump. State Treasurer John Fleming, the other runoff qualifier at 28%, trails in the June 27 contest as traders assess Letlow’s stronger polling among the party’s base and her established path through the state’s majority-vote runoff system. No other candidate exceeds 0.1% in current pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문