**Trader consensus on Seoul’s July 14 overnight low centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid the East Asian monsoon.** Short-range ensemble guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a broad spread of minimum temperatures, with showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate heat retention while occasional clearer intervals allow greater cooling. Typical July climatology shows morning lows near 21–24 °C; recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, elevating the probability mass around 20 °C or below relative to warmer buckets. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect limit how far temperatures can fall, yet any organized rain band arriving before dawn could suppress the minimum. Updated KMA forecasts and the next model cycle will be the key catalysts ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 14일 서울 최저 기온?
7월 14일 서울 최저 기온?
25°C 74%
24°C 22%
23°C 2.8%
22°C 1.1%
신규
$10,669 거래량
신규
$10,669 거래량
2026.07.14
20°C 이하
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
22%
25°C
74%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C 이상
<1%
25°C 74%
24°C 22%
23°C 2.8%
22°C 1.1%
신규
$10,669 거래량
신규
$10,669 거래량
2026.07.14
20°C 이하
$632 거래량
<1%
21°C
$797 거래량
<1%
22°C
$1,133 거래량
1%
23°C
$869 거래량
3%
24°C
$661 거래량
22%
25°C
$1,093 거래량
74%
26°C
$1,110 거래량
<1%
27°C
$1,665 거래량
<1%
28°C
$808 거래량
<1%
29°C
$637 거래량
<1%
30°C 이상
$1,321 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Seoul’s July 14 overnight low centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid the East Asian monsoon.** Short-range ensemble guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a broad spread of minimum temperatures, with showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate heat retention while occasional clearer intervals allow greater cooling. Typical July climatology shows morning lows near 21–24 °C; recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, elevating the probability mass around 20 °C or below relative to warmer buckets. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect limit how far temperatures can fall, yet any organized rain band arriving before dawn could suppress the minimum. Updated KMA forecasts and the next model cycle will be the key catalysts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$10,669종료일
2026.07.14마켓 개설일
Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Seoul’s July 14 overnight low centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid the East Asian monsoon.** Short-range ensemble guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a broad spread of minimum temperatures, with showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate heat retention while occasional clearer intervals allow greater cooling. Typical July climatology shows morning lows near 21–24 °C; recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, elevating the probability mass around 20 °C or below relative to warmer buckets. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect limit how far temperatures can fall, yet any organized rain band arriving before dawn could suppress the minimum. Updated KMA forecasts and the next model cycle will be the key catalysts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$10,669종료일
2026.07.14마켓 개설일
Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader consensus on Seoul’s July 14 overnight low centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid the East Asian monsoon.** Short-range ensemble guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a broad spread of minimum temperatures, with showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate heat retention while occasional clearer intervals allow greater cooling. Typical July climatology shows morning lows near 21–24 °C; recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, elevating the probability mass around 20 °C or below relative to warmer buckets. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect limit how far temperatures can fall, yet any organized rain band arriving before dawn could suppress the minimum. Updated KMA forecasts and the next model cycle will be the key catalysts ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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