Minnesota's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Betty McCollum, seeking re-election in the November 3, 2026 general election, faces only token primary opposition on August 11 and benefits from established fundraising, endorsements, and name recognition in a district that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited resources or national support. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or significant turnout changes that overcome the district's underlying partisan baseline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트MN-04 House Election Winner
MN-04 House Election Winner
$12,709 거래량
$12,709 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$12,709 거래량
$12,709 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$3,382 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$9,327 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Betty McCollum, seeking re-election in the November 3, 2026 general election, faces only token primary opposition on August 11 and benefits from established fundraising, endorsements, and name recognition in a district that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited resources or national support. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or significant turnout changes that overcome the district's underlying partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$12,709종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Betty McCollum, seeking re-election in the November 3, 2026 general election, faces only token primary opposition on August 11 and benefits from established fundraising, endorsements, and name recognition in a district that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited resources or national support. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or significant turnout changes that overcome the district's underlying partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$12,709종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Betty McCollum, seeking re-election in the November 3, 2026 general election, faces only token primary opposition on August 11 and benefits from established fundraising, endorsements, and name recognition in a district that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited resources or national support. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or significant turnout changes that overcome the district's underlying partisan baseline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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