Trader consensus in this market assigns Andy Burnham the strongest implied probability for becoming the next UK Prime Minister in 2026, reflecting his established profile as a senior Labour figure with a record of regional leadership and prior national leadership interest. Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner follow at lower levels, consistent with their current ministerial roles and party standing under Keir Starmer. The modest share for “No Next PM in 2026” captures the possibility that Starmer remains in office through the year amid the fixed parliamentary term, while lower prices on Conservative names such as Kemi Badenoch and Robert Jenrick align with the party’s position in opposition. Recent internal Labour discussions around economic performance and voter sentiment have contributed to the current distribution of probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트앤디 버넘 56.5%
2026년 차기 총리 없음 13%
웨스 스트리팅 10%
앤젤라 레이너 10%
$7,276,677 거래량
$7,276,677 거래량
앤디 버넘
57%
2026년 차기 총리 없음
13%
웨스 스트리팅
10%
앤젤라 레이너
10%
에드 밀리밴드
7%
알 칸즈
4%
나이절 파라지
1%
이베트 쿠퍼
1%
샤바나 마무드
1%
루시 파월
<1%
루퍼트 로우
<1%
레이첼 리브스
<1%
케미 바데녹
<1%
보리스 존슨
<1%
에드 데이비
<1%
브리짓 필립슨
<1%
로버트 제너릭
<1%
데이비드 래미
<1%
제임스 클레벌리
<1%
대런 존스
<1%
존 힐리
<1%
앤디 버넘 56.5%
2026년 차기 총리 없음 13%
웨스 스트리팅 10%
앤젤라 레이너 10%
$7,276,677 거래량
$7,276,677 거래량
앤디 버넘
57%
2026년 차기 총리 없음
13%
웨스 스트리팅
10%
앤젤라 레이너
10%
에드 밀리밴드
7%
알 칸즈
4%
나이절 파라지
1%
이베트 쿠퍼
1%
샤바나 마무드
1%
루시 파월
<1%
루퍼트 로우
<1%
레이첼 리브스
<1%
케미 바데녹
<1%
보리스 존슨
<1%
에드 데이비
<1%
브리짓 필립슨
<1%
로버트 제너릭
<1%
데이비드 래미
<1%
제임스 클레벌리
<1%
대런 존스
<1%
존 힐리
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in this market assigns Andy Burnham the strongest implied probability for becoming the next UK Prime Minister in 2026, reflecting his established profile as a senior Labour figure with a record of regional leadership and prior national leadership interest. Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner follow at lower levels, consistent with their current ministerial roles and party standing under Keir Starmer. The modest share for “No Next PM in 2026” captures the possibility that Starmer remains in office through the year amid the fixed parliamentary term, while lower prices on Conservative names such as Kemi Badenoch and Robert Jenrick align with the party’s position in opposition. Recent internal Labour discussions around economic performance and voter sentiment have contributed to the current distribution of probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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