Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander commands trader consensus at 91.4% implied probability to retain New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District seat, driven by her dominant fundraising ($2.9 million raised, $2 million cash on hand) and a March Saint Anselm College poll showing her leading rematch challenger Lily Tang Williams 48%-36% among registered voters, with 16% undecided. The D+2 district, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report and others, favors her after a narrow 2024 victory, while Williams leads her weak Republican primary field but trails in resources. Primaries on September 8 could introduce surprises, though Goodlander's edge persists absent scandals, a national Republican wave, or shifts among undecideds before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
49%
Democratic Party
52%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$3,967 거래량
49%
Democratic Party
$461 거래량
52%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander commands trader consensus at 91.4% implied probability to retain New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District seat, driven by her dominant fundraising ($2.9 million raised, $2 million cash on hand) and a March Saint Anselm College poll showing her leading rematch challenger Lily Tang Williams 48%-36% among registered voters, with 16% undecided. The D+2 district, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report and others, favors her after a narrow 2024 victory, while Williams leads her weak Republican primary field but trails in resources. Primaries on September 8 could introduce surprises, though Goodlander's edge persists absent scandals, a national Republican wave, or shifts among undecideds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
거래량
$4,428종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander commands trader consensus at 91.4% implied probability to retain New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District seat, driven by her dominant fundraising ($2.9 million raised, $2 million cash on hand) and a March Saint Anselm College poll showing her leading rematch challenger Lily Tang Williams 48%-36% among registered voters, with 16% undecided. The D+2 district, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report and others, favors her after a narrow 2024 victory, while Williams leads her weak Republican primary field but trails in resources. Primaries on September 8 could introduce surprises, though Goodlander's edge persists absent scandals, a national Republican wave, or shifts among undecideds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$4,428종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander commands trader consensus at 91.4% implied probability to retain New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District seat, driven by her dominant fundraising ($2.9 million raised, $2 million cash on hand) and a March Saint Anselm College poll showing her leading rematch challenger Lily Tang Williams 48%-36% among registered voters, with 16% undecided. The D+2 district, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report and others, favors her after a narrow 2024 victory, while Williams leads her weak Republican primary field but trails in resources. Primaries on September 8 could introduce surprises, though Goodlander's edge persists absent scandals, a national Republican wave, or shifts among undecideds before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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