The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Jim McGovern, who secured 68.6 percent in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge in a district covering central Massachusetts, including Worcester. Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic, with limited Republican recruitment evident so far for the November 3 vote. A realistic shift would require a well-funded Republican challenger or a substantial national political realignment that overcomes the district's structural Democratic advantage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$29,916 거래량
$29,916 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
7%
$29,916 거래량
$29,916 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$20,341 거래량
93%
공화당
$9,575 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Jim McGovern, who secured 68.6 percent in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge in a district covering central Massachusetts, including Worcester. Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic, with limited Republican recruitment evident so far for the November 3 vote. A realistic shift would require a well-funded Republican challenger or a substantial national political realignment that overcomes the district's structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$29,916종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Jim McGovern, who secured 68.6 percent in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge in a district covering central Massachusetts, including Worcester. Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic, with limited Republican recruitment evident so far for the November 3 vote. A realistic shift would require a well-funded Republican challenger or a substantial national political realignment that overcomes the district's structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$29,916종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Jim McGovern, who secured 68.6 percent in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge in a district covering central Massachusetts, including Worcester. Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic, with limited Republican recruitment evident so far for the November 3 vote. A realistic shift would require a well-funded Republican challenger or a substantial national political realignment that overcomes the district's structural Democratic advantage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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