Trader consensus in the MI-07 House race strongly favors Democrats at 81.5% implied probability, driven by midterm headwinds facing Republican incumbent Tom Barrett in this toss-up district with a Cook PVI of R+0. Recent high-profile endorsements for Democratic primary contender William Lawrence—including Rep. Rashida Tlaib on May 13 and Rep. Ro Khanna within the last day—signal intensifying national Democratic investment ahead of the August 4 primaries. Strong fundraising among challengers like former Ambassador Bridget Brink ($1.3 million cash on hand) and Navy SEAL Matt Maasdam underscores organizational momentum, while early April internals show Democrats within 1-4 points of Barrett despite a fragmented primary field. Historical midterm losses for the president's party in battleground seats further bolster trader sentiment for a Democratic flip.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
82%
Republican Party
12%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$4,478 거래량
82%
Republican Party
$1,912 거래량
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the MI-07 House race strongly favors Democrats at 81.5% implied probability, driven by midterm headwinds facing Republican incumbent Tom Barrett in this toss-up district with a Cook PVI of R+0. Recent high-profile endorsements for Democratic primary contender William Lawrence—including Rep. Rashida Tlaib on May 13 and Rep. Ro Khanna within the last day—signal intensifying national Democratic investment ahead of the August 4 primaries. Strong fundraising among challengers like former Ambassador Bridget Brink ($1.3 million cash on hand) and Navy SEAL Matt Maasdam underscores organizational momentum, while early April internals show Democrats within 1-4 points of Barrett despite a fragmented primary field. Historical midterm losses for the president's party in battleground seats further bolster trader sentiment for a Democratic flip.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
거래량
$6,390종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the MI-07 House race strongly favors Democrats at 81.5% implied probability, driven by midterm headwinds facing Republican incumbent Tom Barrett in this toss-up district with a Cook PVI of R+0. Recent high-profile endorsements for Democratic primary contender William Lawrence—including Rep. Rashida Tlaib on May 13 and Rep. Ro Khanna within the last day—signal intensifying national Democratic investment ahead of the August 4 primaries. Strong fundraising among challengers like former Ambassador Bridget Brink ($1.3 million cash on hand) and Navy SEAL Matt Maasdam underscores organizational momentum, while early April internals show Democrats within 1-4 points of Barrett despite a fragmented primary field. Historical midterm losses for the president's party in battleground seats further bolster trader sentiment for a Democratic flip.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,390종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the MI-07 House race strongly favors Democrats at 81.5% implied probability, driven by midterm headwinds facing Republican incumbent Tom Barrett in this toss-up district with a Cook PVI of R+0. Recent high-profile endorsements for Democratic primary contender William Lawrence—including Rep. Rashida Tlaib on May 13 and Rep. Ro Khanna within the last day—signal intensifying national Democratic investment ahead of the August 4 primaries. Strong fundraising among challengers like former Ambassador Bridget Brink ($1.3 million cash on hand) and Navy SEAL Matt Maasdam underscores organizational momentum, while early April internals show Democrats within 1-4 points of Barrett despite a fragmented primary field. Historical midterm losses for the president's party in battleground seats further bolster trader sentiment for a Democratic flip.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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