Virginia’s 9th Congressional District, a deep-red stronghold in southwest Virginia with a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by nearly 50 points from recent presidential results, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. Morgan Griffith, who secured 78% in his last race, holds a commanding position ahead of the August 4 Republican primary, bolstered by superior fundraising and limited opposition. A Virginia Supreme Court ruling last week blocking certification of voter-approved redistricting—intended to aid Democrats—preserves the current map, solidifying VA-09 as the state's lone safe GOP seat. Upsets could arise from a flawed GOP nominee emerging from primaries, a major scandal, or an extraordinary national Democratic midterm surge, though historical precedents make these remote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$42,244 거래량
$42,244 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$42,244 거래량
$42,244 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$33,025 거래량
94%
Democratic Party
$9,219 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia’s 9th Congressional District, a deep-red stronghold in southwest Virginia with a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by nearly 50 points from recent presidential results, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. Morgan Griffith, who secured 78% in his last race, holds a commanding position ahead of the August 4 Republican primary, bolstered by superior fundraising and limited opposition. A Virginia Supreme Court ruling last week blocking certification of voter-approved redistricting—intended to aid Democrats—preserves the current map, solidifying VA-09 as the state's lone safe GOP seat. Upsets could arise from a flawed GOP nominee emerging from primaries, a major scandal, or an extraordinary national Democratic midterm surge, though historical precedents make these remote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$42,244종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia’s 9th Congressional District, a deep-red stronghold in southwest Virginia with a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by nearly 50 points from recent presidential results, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. Morgan Griffith, who secured 78% in his last race, holds a commanding position ahead of the August 4 Republican primary, bolstered by superior fundraising and limited opposition. A Virginia Supreme Court ruling last week blocking certification of voter-approved redistricting—intended to aid Democrats—preserves the current map, solidifying VA-09 as the state's lone safe GOP seat. Upsets could arise from a flawed GOP nominee emerging from primaries, a major scandal, or an extraordinary national Democratic midterm surge, though historical precedents make these remote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$42,244종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia’s 9th Congressional District, a deep-red stronghold in southwest Virginia with a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by nearly 50 points from recent presidential results, drives trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. Morgan Griffith, who secured 78% in his last race, holds a commanding position ahead of the August 4 Republican primary, bolstered by superior fundraising and limited opposition. A Virginia Supreme Court ruling last week blocking certification of voter-approved redistricting—intended to aid Democrats—preserves the current map, solidifying VA-09 as the state's lone safe GOP seat. Upsets could arise from a flawed GOP nominee emerging from primaries, a major scandal, or an extraordinary national Democratic midterm surge, though historical precedents make these remote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문