The district's established Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 partisan voter index and consistent results in recent presidential elections, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Frank Pallone, seeking a 19th term after winning 56 percent in 2024, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest and a limited Republican challenge from newcomer Hillary Herzig in the general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the seat's voting patterns and the absence of recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics. Late developments such as a primary surprise or unusually strong national Republican turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors make substantial movement unlikely before November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,607 거래량
$13,607 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$13,607 거래량
$13,607 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$7,069 거래량
95%
Republican Party
$6,539 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's established Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 partisan voter index and consistent results in recent presidential elections, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Frank Pallone, seeking a 19th term after winning 56 percent in 2024, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest and a limited Republican challenge from newcomer Hillary Herzig in the general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the seat's voting patterns and the absence of recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics. Late developments such as a primary surprise or unusually strong national Republican turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors make substantial movement unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$13,607종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's established Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 partisan voter index and consistent results in recent presidential elections, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Frank Pallone, seeking a 19th term after winning 56 percent in 2024, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest and a limited Republican challenge from newcomer Hillary Herzig in the general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the seat's voting patterns and the absence of recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics. Late developments such as a primary surprise or unusually strong national Republican turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors make substantial movement unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,607종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's established Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 partisan voter index and consistent results in recent presidential elections, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Frank Pallone, seeking a 19th term after winning 56 percent in 2024, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest and a limited Republican challenge from newcomer Hillary Herzig in the general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the seat's voting patterns and the absence of recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics. Late developments such as a primary surprise or unusually strong national Republican turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors make substantial movement unlikely before November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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