The competitive dynamics in New Jersey's 7th congressional district center on Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. seeking a third term against a Democratic nominee in a suburban area that has trended more closely aligned with statewide voting patterns in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat as a toss-up, citing the combination of a narrower Republican edge in the 2024 results, the district's gradual partisan shift, and a national environment that often favors the opposition party during midterm elections. With the Democratic primary set for June 2 and Rebecca Bennett positioned as the frontrunner among the remaining candidates, traders appear to weigh the potential for a unified Democratic effort against the advantages of incumbency and established Republican fundraising. This setup leaves room for shifts driven by primary outcomes, candidate debates, and broader polling trends ahead of November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
66%
Republican Party
21%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$241 거래량
66%
Republican Party
$3,727 거래량
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive dynamics in New Jersey's 7th congressional district center on Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. seeking a third term against a Democratic nominee in a suburban area that has trended more closely aligned with statewide voting patterns in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat as a toss-up, citing the combination of a narrower Republican edge in the 2024 results, the district's gradual partisan shift, and a national environment that often favors the opposition party during midterm elections. With the Democratic primary set for June 2 and Rebecca Bennett positioned as the frontrunner among the remaining candidates, traders appear to weigh the potential for a unified Democratic effort against the advantages of incumbency and established Republican fundraising. This setup leaves room for shifts driven by primary outcomes, candidate debates, and broader polling trends ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
거래량
$3,968종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive dynamics in New Jersey's 7th congressional district center on Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. seeking a third term against a Democratic nominee in a suburban area that has trended more closely aligned with statewide voting patterns in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat as a toss-up, citing the combination of a narrower Republican edge in the 2024 results, the district's gradual partisan shift, and a national environment that often favors the opposition party during midterm elections. With the Democratic primary set for June 2 and Rebecca Bennett positioned as the frontrunner among the remaining candidates, traders appear to weigh the potential for a unified Democratic effort against the advantages of incumbency and established Republican fundraising. This setup leaves room for shifts driven by primary outcomes, candidate debates, and broader polling trends ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,968종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The competitive dynamics in New Jersey's 7th congressional district center on Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. seeking a third term against a Democratic nominee in a suburban area that has trended more closely aligned with statewide voting patterns in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat as a toss-up, citing the combination of a narrower Republican edge in the 2024 results, the district's gradual partisan shift, and a national environment that often favors the opposition party during midterm elections. With the Democratic primary set for June 2 and Rebecca Bennett positioned as the frontrunner among the remaining candidates, traders appear to weigh the potential for a unified Democratic effort against the advantages of incumbency and established Republican fundraising. This setup leaves room for shifts driven by primary outcomes, candidate debates, and broader polling trends ahead of November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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