In Ohio's 7th Congressional District, trader consensus slightly favors incumbent Republican Max Miller at 50% implied probability over Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter at 41%, reflecting the district's R+5 partisan lean and Miller's fundraising edge with over $1.1 million cash on hand. The race remains tight following Poindexter's May 5 primary victory in a crowded eight-candidate field, where the ironworker union leader secured 37% with endorsements from labor groups like Ironworkers Local 17 and progressive organizations. Miller's past domestic abuse allegations from ex-girlfriend Stephanie Grisham continue to fuel Democratic attacks, offsetting his incumbency after narrow 51% wins in 2022 and 2024. Separation could arise from initial general election polls, Q2 fundraising reports, candidate debates, or midterm national headwinds affecting GOP control.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,202 거래량
$19,202 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
41%
공화당
44%
$19,202 거래량
$19,202 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$12,094 거래량
41%
공화당
$7,108 거래량
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Ohio's 7th Congressional District, trader consensus slightly favors incumbent Republican Max Miller at 50% implied probability over Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter at 41%, reflecting the district's R+5 partisan lean and Miller's fundraising edge with over $1.1 million cash on hand. The race remains tight following Poindexter's May 5 primary victory in a crowded eight-candidate field, where the ironworker union leader secured 37% with endorsements from labor groups like Ironworkers Local 17 and progressive organizations. Miller's past domestic abuse allegations from ex-girlfriend Stephanie Grisham continue to fuel Democratic attacks, offsetting his incumbency after narrow 51% wins in 2022 and 2024. Separation could arise from initial general election polls, Q2 fundraising reports, candidate debates, or midterm national headwinds affecting GOP control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$19,202종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Ohio's 7th Congressional District, trader consensus slightly favors incumbent Republican Max Miller at 50% implied probability over Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter at 41%, reflecting the district's R+5 partisan lean and Miller's fundraising edge with over $1.1 million cash on hand. The race remains tight following Poindexter's May 5 primary victory in a crowded eight-candidate field, where the ironworker union leader secured 37% with endorsements from labor groups like Ironworkers Local 17 and progressive organizations. Miller's past domestic abuse allegations from ex-girlfriend Stephanie Grisham continue to fuel Democratic attacks, offsetting his incumbency after narrow 51% wins in 2022 and 2024. Separation could arise from initial general election polls, Q2 fundraising reports, candidate debates, or midterm national headwinds affecting GOP control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$19,202종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Ohio's 7th Congressional District, trader consensus slightly favors incumbent Republican Max Miller at 50% implied probability over Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter at 41%, reflecting the district's R+5 partisan lean and Miller's fundraising edge with over $1.1 million cash on hand. The race remains tight following Poindexter's May 5 primary victory in a crowded eight-candidate field, where the ironworker union leader secured 37% with endorsements from labor groups like Ironworkers Local 17 and progressive organizations. Miller's past domestic abuse allegations from ex-girlfriend Stephanie Grisham continue to fuel Democratic attacks, offsetting his incumbency after narrow 51% wins in 2022 and 2024. Separation could arise from initial general election polls, Q2 fundraising reports, candidate debates, or midterm national headwinds affecting GOP control.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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