Trader consensus prices turnout for Russia's September 18-20 State Duma election in a tight cluster around 50-56%, mirroring historical levels of 47.8% in 2016 and 51.7% in 2021, amid stable April polls showing United Russia leading at 35-52% with FOM abstention intentions at 7-13%. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days, but remote electronic voting expansion to nearly half of regions—announced earlier this year—could boost participation through easier access, while ongoing war fatigue, slight Putin approval dips to 79%, and economic pressures foster voter disengagement. Separation may emerge from intensified administrative mobilization campaigns or pre-election economic relief versus escalation in mobilization fears or regional protests.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트53-56% 41.9%
50-53% 38%
62%+ 29%
<47% 26%
<47%
24%
47-50%
25%
50-53%
38%
53-56%
42%
56-59%
24%
59-62%
31%
62%+
34%
53-56% 41.9%
50-53% 38%
62%+ 29%
<47% 26%
<47%
24%
47-50%
25%
50-53%
38%
53-56%
42%
56-59%
24%
59-62%
31%
62%+
34%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
마켓 개설일: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices turnout for Russia's September 18-20 State Duma election in a tight cluster around 50-56%, mirroring historical levels of 47.8% in 2016 and 51.7% in 2021, amid stable April polls showing United Russia leading at 35-52% with FOM abstention intentions at 7-13%. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days, but remote electronic voting expansion to nearly half of regions—announced earlier this year—could boost participation through easier access, while ongoing war fatigue, slight Putin approval dips to 79%, and economic pressures foster voter disengagement. Separation may emerge from intensified administrative mobilization campaigns or pre-election economic relief versus escalation in mobilization fears or regional protests.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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