The Republican runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, set for May 26, remains the decisive factor shaping matchup probabilities, as recent University of Houston and other polling shows Paxton holding a narrow edge among likely GOP voters. Democrats resolved their nomination earlier when state Representative James Talarico defeated U.S. Representative Jasmine Crockett outright in the March 3 primary. These results position Talarico-Paxton as the leading anticipated pairing, with traders assigning it the highest probability based on the current runoff dynamics and Talarico's established position on the Democratic side. Wesley Hunt's earlier elimination and the absence of other competitive candidates further consolidate expectations around this potential general election contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트탈라리코 & 팍스턴 63%
탈라리코 & 코닌 38%
크로켓 & 헌트 <1%
탈라리코 & 헌트 <1%
$721,495 거래량
$721,495 거래량
2026.03.03
탈라리코 & 팍스턴
63%
탈라리코 & 코닌
38%
크로켓 & 헌트
<1%
탈라리코 & 헌트
<1%
크로켓 & 팩스턴
<1%
크로켓 & 코닌
<1%
기타
<1%
탈라리코 & 팍스턴 63%
탈라리코 & 코닌 38%
크로켓 & 헌트 <1%
탈라리코 & 헌트 <1%
$721,495 거래량
$721,495 거래량
2026.03.03
탈라리코 & 팍스턴
$275,355 거래량
63%
탈라리코 & 코닌
$197,112 거래량
38%
크로켓 & 헌트
$24,730 거래량
<1%
탈라리코 & 헌트
$24,058 거래량
<1%
크로켓 & 팩스턴
$107,066 거래량
<1%
크로켓 & 코닌
$65,651 거래량
<1%
기타
$27,524 거래량
<1%
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The Republican runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, set for May 26, remains the decisive factor shaping matchup probabilities, as recent University of Houston and other polling shows Paxton holding a narrow edge among likely GOP voters. Democrats resolved their nomination earlier when state Representative James Talarico defeated U.S. Representative Jasmine Crockett outright in the March 3 primary. These results position Talarico-Paxton as the leading anticipated pairing, with traders assigning it the highest probability based on the current runoff dynamics and Talarico's established position on the Democratic side. Wesley Hunt's earlier elimination and the absence of other competitive candidates further consolidate expectations around this potential general election contest.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
마켓 개설일: Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
거래량
$721,495종료일
2026.03.03마켓 개설일
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The Republican runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, set for May 26, remains the decisive factor shaping matchup probabilities, as recent University of Houston and other polling shows Paxton holding a narrow edge among likely GOP voters. Democrats resolved their nomination earlier when state Representative James Talarico defeated U.S. Representative Jasmine Crockett outright in the March 3 primary. These results position Talarico-Paxton as the leading anticipated pairing, with traders assigning it the highest probability based on the current runoff dynamics and Talarico's established position on the Democratic side. Wesley Hunt's earlier elimination and the absence of other competitive candidates further consolidate expectations around this potential general election contest.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
거래량
$721,495종료일
2026.03.03마켓 개설일
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Republican runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, set for May 26, remains the decisive factor shaping matchup probabilities, as recent University of Houston and other polling shows Paxton holding a narrow edge among likely GOP voters. Democrats resolved their nomination earlier when state Representative James Talarico defeated U.S. Representative Jasmine Crockett outright in the March 3 primary. These results position Talarico-Paxton as the leading anticipated pairing, with traders assigning it the highest probability based on the current runoff dynamics and Talarico's established position on the Democratic side. Wesley Hunt's earlier elimination and the absence of other competitive candidates further consolidate expectations around this potential general election contest.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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