Recent redistricting consolidated Houston-area districts, placing sitting Democratic incumbents Christian Menefee and Al Green in a May 26 runoff for the TX-18 nomination after neither secured a majority in the March 3 primary. A University of Houston Hobby School poll released this week shows Menefee leading Green 50% to 43% among likely voters, with strong support among younger, white, and Latino voters. Traders have priced Menefee at 89% implied probability, reflecting his edge in recent surveys, campaign fundraising, and perceived generational contrast against the 78-year-old Green’s long tenure. Minor candidates Gretchen Brown and Amanda Edwards register near zero in both polling and market pricing, underscoring the two-way contest dynamic ahead of early voting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트크리스티안 메네피 88.9%
앨 그린 10.3%
그레첸 브라운 <1%
아만다 에드워즈 <1%
$27,959 거래량
$27,959 거래량
2026.05.26
크리스티안 메네피
89%
앨 그린
10%
그레첸 브라운
<1%
아만다 에드워즈
<1%
크리스티안 메네피 88.9%
앨 그린 10.3%
그레첸 브라운 <1%
아만다 에드워즈 <1%
$27,959 거래량
$27,959 거래량
2026.05.26
크리스티안 메네피
$16,738 거래량
89%
앨 그린
$4,919 거래량
10%
그레첸 브라운
$3,586 거래량
<1%
아만다 에드워즈
$2,716 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent redistricting consolidated Houston-area districts, placing sitting Democratic incumbents Christian Menefee and Al Green in a May 26 runoff for the TX-18 nomination after neither secured a majority in the March 3 primary. A University of Houston Hobby School poll released this week shows Menefee leading Green 50% to 43% among likely voters, with strong support among younger, white, and Latino voters. Traders have priced Menefee at 89% implied probability, reflecting his edge in recent surveys, campaign fundraising, and perceived generational contrast against the 78-year-old Green’s long tenure. Minor candidates Gretchen Brown and Amanda Edwards register near zero in both polling and market pricing, underscoring the two-way contest dynamic ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
거래량
$27,959종료일
2026.05.26마켓 개설일
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent redistricting consolidated Houston-area districts, placing sitting Democratic incumbents Christian Menefee and Al Green in a May 26 runoff for the TX-18 nomination after neither secured a majority in the March 3 primary. A University of Houston Hobby School poll released this week shows Menefee leading Green 50% to 43% among likely voters, with strong support among younger, white, and Latino voters. Traders have priced Menefee at 89% implied probability, reflecting his edge in recent surveys, campaign fundraising, and perceived generational contrast against the 78-year-old Green’s long tenure. Minor candidates Gretchen Brown and Amanda Edwards register near zero in both polling and market pricing, underscoring the two-way contest dynamic ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$27,959종료일
2026.05.26마켓 개설일
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting consolidated Houston-area districts, placing sitting Democratic incumbents Christian Menefee and Al Green in a May 26 runoff for the TX-18 nomination after neither secured a majority in the March 3 primary. A University of Houston Hobby School poll released this week shows Menefee leading Green 50% to 43% among likely voters, with strong support among younger, white, and Latino voters. Traders have priced Menefee at 89% implied probability, reflecting his edge in recent surveys, campaign fundraising, and perceived generational contrast against the 78-year-old Green’s long tenure. Minor candidates Gretchen Brown and Amanda Edwards register near zero in both polling and market pricing, underscoring the two-way contest dynamic ahead of early voting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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