Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a slight trader consensus edge at 53% in Utah's 2nd Congressional District House race, fueled by his substantial fundraising advantage—over $2.4 million cash-on-hand—despite trailing state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee at the April 25 GOP nominating convention, where she secured 61.5% support, forcing a June 23 primary that risks GOP resources and unity. Democrats unified early behind Peter Crosby, who clinched their convention outright, canceling the primary and positioning him strongly against minor-party challengers. Court-ordered redistricting packed Democrats into UT-01, enhancing UT-02's Republican lean per Cook Political Report's Solid R rating, though absent polls, traders weigh midterm national headwinds and historical competitiveness—Maloy's narrow 2024 win—in this closely contested battleground.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
25%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$0 거래량
74%
Democratic Party
$195 거래량
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a slight trader consensus edge at 53% in Utah's 2nd Congressional District House race, fueled by his substantial fundraising advantage—over $2.4 million cash-on-hand—despite trailing state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee at the April 25 GOP nominating convention, where she secured 61.5% support, forcing a June 23 primary that risks GOP resources and unity. Democrats unified early behind Peter Crosby, who clinched their convention outright, canceling the primary and positioning him strongly against minor-party challengers. Court-ordered redistricting packed Democrats into UT-01, enhancing UT-02's Republican lean per Cook Political Report's Solid R rating, though absent polls, traders weigh midterm national headwinds and historical competitiveness—Maloy's narrow 2024 win—in this closely contested battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
거래량
$195종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a slight trader consensus edge at 53% in Utah's 2nd Congressional District House race, fueled by his substantial fundraising advantage—over $2.4 million cash-on-hand—despite trailing state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee at the April 25 GOP nominating convention, where she secured 61.5% support, forcing a June 23 primary that risks GOP resources and unity. Democrats unified early behind Peter Crosby, who clinched their convention outright, canceling the primary and positioning him strongly against minor-party challengers. Court-ordered redistricting packed Democrats into UT-01, enhancing UT-02's Republican lean per Cook Political Report's Solid R rating, though absent polls, traders weigh midterm national headwinds and historical competitiveness—Maloy's narrow 2024 win—in this closely contested battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$195종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Blake Moore holds a slight trader consensus edge at 53% in Utah's 2nd Congressional District House race, fueled by his substantial fundraising advantage—over $2.4 million cash-on-hand—despite trailing state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee at the April 25 GOP nominating convention, where she secured 61.5% support, forcing a June 23 primary that risks GOP resources and unity. Democrats unified early behind Peter Crosby, who clinched their convention outright, canceling the primary and positioning him strongly against minor-party challengers. Court-ordered redistricting packed Democrats into UT-01, enhancing UT-02's Republican lean per Cook Political Report's Solid R rating, though absent polls, traders weigh midterm national headwinds and historical competitiveness—Maloy's narrow 2024 win—in this closely contested battleground.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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