OpenAI commands a 99% market-implied probability of posting the second-highest AI company revenue for the week of May 11-17, reflecting its mature large language model business with steady subscription and API income from ChatGPT. Traders see this lead as anchored in OpenAI’s established scale and user adoption, which continue to generate consistent weekly revenue even as rivals like Anthropic and xAI remain in earlier growth phases with smaller user bases and more limited monetization. Google’s distant second-place odds underscore that broader search and cloud revenue is not viewed as directly comparable in this narrow AI-focused contest. A late-week surprise product launch or enterprise contract from a smaller player could theoretically alter the outcome, yet current trajectories make such shifts improbable before the period closes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트OpenAI 99.0%
Anthropic <1%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
$28,135 거래량
$28,135 거래량
2026.05.17
OpenAI
99%
Anthropic
<1%
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
xAI
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
OpenAI 99.0%
Anthropic <1%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
$28,135 거래량
$28,135 거래량
2026.05.17
OpenAI
$10,358 거래량
99%
Anthropic
$2,347 거래량
<1%
$1,873 거래량
<1%
Z.ai
$3,087 거래량
<1%
xAI
$4,480 거래량
<1%
DeepSeek
$3,581 거래량
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,457 거래량
<1%
MiniMax
$950 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.OpenAI commands a 99% market-implied probability of posting the second-highest AI company revenue for the week of May 11-17, reflecting its mature large language model business with steady subscription and API income from ChatGPT. Traders see this lead as anchored in OpenAI’s established scale and user adoption, which continue to generate consistent weekly revenue even as rivals like Anthropic and xAI remain in earlier growth phases with smaller user bases and more limited monetization. Google’s distant second-place odds underscore that broader search and cloud revenue is not viewed as directly comparable in this narrow AI-focused contest. A late-week surprise product launch or enterprise contract from a smaller player could theoretically alter the outcome, yet current trajectories make such shifts improbable before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
마켓 개설일: May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
거래량
$28,135종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.OpenAI commands a 99% market-implied probability of posting the second-highest AI company revenue for the week of May 11-17, reflecting its mature large language model business with steady subscription and API income from ChatGPT. Traders see this lead as anchored in OpenAI’s established scale and user adoption, which continue to generate consistent weekly revenue even as rivals like Anthropic and xAI remain in earlier growth phases with smaller user bases and more limited monetization. Google’s distant second-place odds underscore that broader search and cloud revenue is not viewed as directly comparable in this narrow AI-focused contest. A late-week surprise product launch or enterprise contract from a smaller player could theoretically alter the outcome, yet current trajectories make such shifts improbable before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
거래량
$28,135종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI commands a 99% market-implied probability of posting the second-highest AI company revenue for the week of May 11-17, reflecting its mature large language model business with steady subscription and API income from ChatGPT. Traders see this lead as anchored in OpenAI’s established scale and user adoption, which continue to generate consistent weekly revenue even as rivals like Anthropic and xAI remain in earlier growth phases with smaller user bases and more limited monetization. Google’s distant second-place odds underscore that broader search and cloud revenue is not viewed as directly comparable in this narrow AI-focused contest. A late-week surprise product launch or enterprise contract from a smaller player could theoretically alter the outcome, yet current trajectories make such shifts improbable before the period closes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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