California's 27th congressional district has shifted toward Democrats following recent redistricting that removed conservative suburban areas, improving the seat's partisan lean to roughly D+6. Incumbent George Whitesides secured the seat in 2024 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two contest, positioning him to advance against Republican Jason Gibbs in November. Analysts rate the race Solid Democratic based on registration advantages and historical voting patterns in the Antelope Valley and Santa Clarita regions. These structural factors underpin the current market pricing, where traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory while viewing any Republican path as narrow absent major turnout shifts or unexpected primary outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
81%
Republican Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$802 거래량
81%
Republican Party
$1,468 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 27th congressional district has shifted toward Democrats following recent redistricting that removed conservative suburban areas, improving the seat's partisan lean to roughly D+6. Incumbent George Whitesides secured the seat in 2024 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two contest, positioning him to advance against Republican Jason Gibbs in November. Analysts rate the race Solid Democratic based on registration advantages and historical voting patterns in the Antelope Valley and Santa Clarita regions. These structural factors underpin the current market pricing, where traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory while viewing any Republican path as narrow absent major turnout shifts or unexpected primary outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ET
거래량
$2,270종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 27th congressional district has shifted toward Democrats following recent redistricting that removed conservative suburban areas, improving the seat's partisan lean to roughly D+6. Incumbent George Whitesides secured the seat in 2024 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two contest, positioning him to advance against Republican Jason Gibbs in November. Analysts rate the race Solid Democratic based on registration advantages and historical voting patterns in the Antelope Valley and Santa Clarita regions. These structural factors underpin the current market pricing, where traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory while viewing any Republican path as narrow absent major turnout shifts or unexpected primary outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,270종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 27th congressional district has shifted toward Democrats following recent redistricting that removed conservative suburban areas, improving the seat's partisan lean to roughly D+6. Incumbent George Whitesides secured the seat in 2024 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two contest, positioning him to advance against Republican Jason Gibbs in November. Analysts rate the race Solid Democratic based on registration advantages and historical voting patterns in the Antelope Valley and Santa Clarita regions. These structural factors underpin the current market pricing, where traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory while viewing any Republican path as narrow absent major turnout shifts or unexpected primary outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문