Anthropic’s Claude has faced repeated service disruptions in June 2026, including major global outages on June 2 and 5 that produced elevated error rates across Opus models, the API, and Claude Code, plus shorter incidents on June 7 and 13. These events, driven by scaling pressures on frontier large language models amid surging usage, have kept reliability top of mind for traders. Status page data shows quick resolutions and 99%+ uptime overall, supporting market-implied odds favoring 6–11 total downtime days rather than extreme outcomes. With June half complete and no major new capacity announcements, the 6–8 day bracket leads as traders weigh ongoing demand growth against Anthropic’s improving incident response.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6-8 44%
9-11 32%
12+ 14%
3-5 4.8%
$12,900 거래량
$12,900 거래량
2026.06.30
3-5
5%
6-8
44%
9-11
32%
12+
14%
6-8 44%
9-11 32%
12+ 14%
3-5 4.8%
$12,900 거래량
$12,900 거래량
2026.06.30
3-5
$4,244 거래량
5%
6-8
$1,427 거래량
44%
9-11
$1,893 거래량
32%
12+
$2,040 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic’s Claude has faced repeated service disruptions in June 2026, including major global outages on June 2 and 5 that produced elevated error rates across Opus models, the API, and Claude Code, plus shorter incidents on June 7 and 13. These events, driven by scaling pressures on frontier large language models amid surging usage, have kept reliability top of mind for traders. Status page data shows quick resolutions and 99%+ uptime overall, supporting market-implied odds favoring 6–11 total downtime days rather than extreme outcomes. With June half complete and no major new capacity announcements, the 6–8 day bracket leads as traders weigh ongoing demand growth against Anthropic’s improving incident response.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
마켓 개설일: May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
거래량
$12,900종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic’s Claude has faced repeated service disruptions in June 2026, including major global outages on June 2 and 5 that produced elevated error rates across Opus models, the API, and Claude Code, plus shorter incidents on June 7 and 13. These events, driven by scaling pressures on frontier large language models amid surging usage, have kept reliability top of mind for traders. Status page data shows quick resolutions and 99%+ uptime overall, supporting market-implied odds favoring 6–11 total downtime days rather than extreme outcomes. With June half complete and no major new capacity announcements, the 6–8 day bracket leads as traders weigh ongoing demand growth against Anthropic’s improving incident response.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
거래량
$12,900종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s Claude has faced repeated service disruptions in June 2026, including major global outages on June 2 and 5 that produced elevated error rates across Opus models, the API, and Claude Code, plus shorter incidents on June 7 and 13. These events, driven by scaling pressures on frontier large language models amid surging usage, have kept reliability top of mind for traders. Status page data shows quick resolutions and 99%+ uptime overall, supporting market-implied odds favoring 6–11 total downtime days rather than extreme outcomes. With June half complete and no major new capacity announcements, the 6–8 day bracket leads as traders weigh ongoing demand growth against Anthropic’s improving incident response.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문