Recent reports from early June 2026 that Anthropic selected Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs as its primary book runners have anchored trader consensus around these two banks for the lead-left underwriter role in a potential $60 billion-plus IPO. Morgan Stanley’s 40% implied probability reflects its recent hosting of Anthropic management at investor conferences and historical strength in large-cap technology listings, while Goldman’s 26% share incorporates its joint mandate and competitive positioning in the “horse race” for top billing. Other bulge-bracket firms remain below 3% amid limited disclosed involvement. With an October 2026 filing window cited by sources, final lead-left designation and any last-minute mandate shifts ahead of regulatory filings represent the key near-term catalysts priced into current market-implied odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Morgan Stanley 41%
Goldman Sachs 26%
Bank of America 2.7%
JPMorgan 2.3%
$34,080 거래량
$34,080 거래량
Morgan Stanley
41%
Goldman Sachs
26%
JPMorgan
2%
Bank of America
3%
Citigroup
1%
Barclays
2%
UBS
1%
Deutsche Bank
1%
Wells Fargo
1%
Morgan Stanley 41%
Goldman Sachs 26%
Bank of America 2.7%
JPMorgan 2.3%
$34,080 거래량
$34,080 거래량
Morgan Stanley
41%
Goldman Sachs
26%
JPMorgan
2%
Bank of America
3%
Citigroup
1%
Barclays
2%
UBS
1%
Deutsche Bank
1%
Wells Fargo
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports from early June 2026 that Anthropic selected Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs as its primary book runners have anchored trader consensus around these two banks for the lead-left underwriter role in a potential $60 billion-plus IPO. Morgan Stanley’s 40% implied probability reflects its recent hosting of Anthropic management at investor conferences and historical strength in large-cap technology listings, while Goldman’s 26% share incorporates its joint mandate and competitive positioning in the “horse race” for top billing. Other bulge-bracket firms remain below 3% amid limited disclosed involvement. With an October 2026 filing window cited by sources, final lead-left designation and any last-minute mandate shifts ahead of regulatory filings represent the key near-term catalysts priced into current market-implied odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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