Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.1% implied probability, driven by the company's recent $5 billion equity raise in February 2026 at a $134 billion valuation—plus $1.8 billion in additional debt—providing substantial liquidity for AI lakehouse expansions like Lakebase and Genie without public market pressures. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled flexibility for a 2026 listing but emphasized private capital's advantages amid aggressive acquisitions totaling over $4 billion in recent years. With no S-1 filing or roadshow rumors in the past 30 days and typical IPO timelines spanning 3–6 months, the window appears too narrow. A surprise confidential filing or favorable regulatory fast-track could shift odds, though market volatility poses risks to any rushed debut.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음 90.1%
1,000억–1,250억 달러 6.2%
2,000억~2,500억 2.0%
1,250억~1,500억 달러 1.7%
$403,785 거래량
$403,785 거래량
2026.06.30
<1,000억
<1%
1,000억–1,250억 달러
6%
1,250억~1,500억 달러
2%
1,500~1,750억 달러
<1%
1,750–2,000억
<1%
2,000억~2,500억
2%
2,500억+
<1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음
90%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음 90.1%
1,000억–1,250억 달러 6.2%
2,000억~2,500억 2.0%
1,250억~1,500억 달러 1.7%
$403,785 거래량
$403,785 거래량
2026.06.30
<1,000억
$33,240 거래량
<1%
1,000억–1,250억 달러
$61,994 거래량
6%
1,250억~1,500억 달러
$26,692 거래량
2%
1,500~1,750억 달러
$59,896 거래량
<1%
1,750–2,000억
$58,153 거래량
<1%
2,000억~2,500억
$21,122 거래량
2%
2,500억+
$126,215 거래량
<1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장 없음
$16,474 거래량
90%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.1% implied probability, driven by the company's recent $5 billion equity raise in February 2026 at a $134 billion valuation—plus $1.8 billion in additional debt—providing substantial liquidity for AI lakehouse expansions like Lakebase and Genie without public market pressures. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled flexibility for a 2026 listing but emphasized private capital's advantages amid aggressive acquisitions totaling over $4 billion in recent years. With no S-1 filing or roadshow rumors in the past 30 days and typical IPO timelines spanning 3–6 months, the window appears too narrow. A surprise confidential filing or favorable regulatory fast-track could shift odds, though market volatility poses risks to any rushed debut.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
거래량
$403,785종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.1% implied probability, driven by the company's recent $5 billion equity raise in February 2026 at a $134 billion valuation—plus $1.8 billion in additional debt—providing substantial liquidity for AI lakehouse expansions like Lakebase and Genie without public market pressures. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled flexibility for a 2026 listing but emphasized private capital's advantages amid aggressive acquisitions totaling over $4 billion in recent years. With no S-1 filing or roadshow rumors in the past 30 days and typical IPO timelines spanning 3–6 months, the window appears too narrow. A surprise confidential filing or favorable regulatory fast-track could shift odds, though market volatility poses risks to any rushed debut.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$403,785종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.1% implied probability, driven by the company's recent $5 billion equity raise in February 2026 at a $134 billion valuation—plus $1.8 billion in additional debt—providing substantial liquidity for AI lakehouse expansions like Lakebase and Genie without public market pressures. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled flexibility for a 2026 listing but emphasized private capital's advantages amid aggressive acquisitions totaling over $4 billion in recent years. With no S-1 filing or roadshow rumors in the past 30 days and typical IPO timelines spanning 3–6 months, the window appears too narrow. A surprise confidential filing or favorable regulatory fast-track could shift odds, though market volatility poses risks to any rushed debut.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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