Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a commanding 95.8% implied probability against a Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled recapitalization and privatization efforts from conservatorship. FHFA Director Bill Pulte's May 6 confirmation that IPO timing rests solely with President Trump highlights acute political dependencies, while shares hit 52-week lows amid investor doubts per recent Barron's analysis. KBW analysts in April narrowed the window pre-November midterms, citing regulatory hurdles and absent firm timelines despite FHFA's Q2 partial IPO target. Strong positioning persists barring a surprise Trump directive, Treasury deal terms, or accelerated capital build-up to meet compliance thresholds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음 95.8%
1,500억~2,000억 달러 2.3%
3,000억+ <1%
1,500억 달러 미만 <1%
$200,621 거래량
$200,621 거래량
2026.06.30
1,500억 달러 미만
<1%
1,500억~2,000억 달러
2%
2,000억~2,500억
<1%
2,500억~3,000억 달러
<1%
3,000억+
1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음
96%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음 95.8%
1,500억~2,000억 달러 2.3%
3,000억+ <1%
1,500억 달러 미만 <1%
$200,621 거래량
$200,621 거래량
2026.06.30
1,500억 달러 미만
$81,902 거래량
<1%
1,500억~2,000억 달러
$32,450 거래량
2%
2,000억~2,500억
$20,034 거래량
<1%
2,500억~3,000억 달러
$6,727 거래량
<1%
3,000억+
$11,975 거래량
1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음
$47,533 거래량
96%
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a commanding 95.8% implied probability against a Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled recapitalization and privatization efforts from conservatorship. FHFA Director Bill Pulte's May 6 confirmation that IPO timing rests solely with President Trump highlights acute political dependencies, while shares hit 52-week lows amid investor doubts per recent Barron's analysis. KBW analysts in April narrowed the window pre-November midterms, citing regulatory hurdles and absent firm timelines despite FHFA's Q2 partial IPO target. Strong positioning persists barring a surprise Trump directive, Treasury deal terms, or accelerated capital build-up to meet compliance thresholds.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
거래량
$200,621종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a commanding 95.8% implied probability against a Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled recapitalization and privatization efforts from conservatorship. FHFA Director Bill Pulte's May 6 confirmation that IPO timing rests solely with President Trump highlights acute political dependencies, while shares hit 52-week lows amid investor doubts per recent Barron's analysis. KBW analysts in April narrowed the window pre-November midterms, citing regulatory hurdles and absent firm timelines despite FHFA's Q2 partial IPO target. Strong positioning persists barring a surprise Trump directive, Treasury deal terms, or accelerated capital build-up to meet compliance thresholds.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$200,621종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a commanding 95.8% implied probability against a Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled recapitalization and privatization efforts from conservatorship. FHFA Director Bill Pulte's May 6 confirmation that IPO timing rests solely with President Trump highlights acute political dependencies, while shares hit 52-week lows amid investor doubts per recent Barron's analysis. KBW analysts in April narrowed the window pre-November midterms, citing regulatory hurdles and absent firm timelines despite FHFA's Q2 partial IPO target. Strong positioning persists barring a surprise Trump directive, Treasury deal terms, or accelerated capital build-up to meet compliance thresholds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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