Geopolitical tensions stemming from U.S.-Israel military actions involving Iran have driven the primary surge in U.S. retail gasoline prices, with the national average reaching $4.51 per gallon as of May 17, 2026, up sharply from $2.81 in January. Disruptions to crude oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, combined with refinery maintenance and seasonal inventory draws, have elevated benchmark crude costs and tightened fuel supply, pushing prices above $4.50 for the first time since 2022. Trader sentiment reflects these supply constraints against the backdrop of approaching peak summer driving demand around Memorial Day, while EIA projections for a 2026 annual average near $3.70 highlight the potential for mean reversion if tensions ease. Market-implied odds incorporate ongoing risks from global oil balances and refinery utilization rates, with any de-escalation serving as the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$140,628 거래량
↑ $5.00
14%
↑ $4.70
52%
↑ $4.60
63%
↓ $4.25
12%
↓ $4.20
9%
↓ $4.10
9%
↓ $4.00
5%
↓ $3.75
3%
↓ $3.50
2%
$140,628 거래량
↑ $5.00
14%
↑ $4.70
52%
↑ $4.60
63%
↓ $4.25
12%
↓ $4.20
9%
↓ $4.10
9%
↓ $4.00
5%
↓ $3.75
3%
↓ $3.50
2%
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions stemming from U.S.-Israel military actions involving Iran have driven the primary surge in U.S. retail gasoline prices, with the national average reaching $4.51 per gallon as of May 17, 2026, up sharply from $2.81 in January. Disruptions to crude oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, combined with refinery maintenance and seasonal inventory draws, have elevated benchmark crude costs and tightened fuel supply, pushing prices above $4.50 for the first time since 2022. Trader sentiment reflects these supply constraints against the backdrop of approaching peak summer driving demand around Memorial Day, while EIA projections for a 2026 annual average near $3.70 highlight the potential for mean reversion if tensions ease. Market-implied odds incorporate ongoing risks from global oil balances and refinery utilization rates, with any de-escalation serving as the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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