President Trump issued an executive order in March 2025 directing steps to close the Department of Education and return authority to states, followed by staff reductions, program transfers to other agencies, and recent moves to shift special education and civil rights oversight. Full statutory elimination, however, requires congressional legislation to repeal the department’s authorizing statute and reallocate its functions, including student aid and grant programs. With the current Senate composition, any such measure would likely face a filibuster requiring 60 votes, and no bill advancing complete abolition has advanced. These procedural and political hurdles explain why traders assign a 92% implied probability that the department will remain intact through 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,928 거래량
$11,928 거래량
2026.12.31
$11,928 거래량
$11,928 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump issued an executive order in March 2025 directing steps to close the Department of Education and return authority to states, followed by staff reductions, program transfers to other agencies, and recent moves to shift special education and civil rights oversight. Full statutory elimination, however, requires congressional legislation to repeal the department’s authorizing statute and reallocate its functions, including student aid and grant programs. With the current Senate composition, any such measure would likely face a filibuster requiring 60 votes, and no bill advancing complete abolition has advanced. These procedural and political hurdles explain why traders assign a 92% implied probability that the department will remain intact through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ET
거래량
$11,928종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump issued an executive order in March 2025 directing steps to close the Department of Education and return authority to states, followed by staff reductions, program transfers to other agencies, and recent moves to shift special education and civil rights oversight. Full statutory elimination, however, requires congressional legislation to repeal the department’s authorizing statute and reallocate its functions, including student aid and grant programs. With the current Senate composition, any such measure would likely face a filibuster requiring 60 votes, and no bill advancing complete abolition has advanced. These procedural and political hurdles explain why traders assign a 92% implied probability that the department will remain intact through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$11,928종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump issued an executive order in March 2025 directing steps to close the Department of Education and return authority to states, followed by staff reductions, program transfers to other agencies, and recent moves to shift special education and civil rights oversight. Full statutory elimination, however, requires congressional legislation to repeal the department’s authorizing statute and reallocate its functions, including student aid and grant programs. With the current Senate composition, any such measure would likely face a filibuster requiring 60 votes, and no bill advancing complete abolition has advanced. These procedural and political hurdles explain why traders assign a 92% implied probability that the department will remain intact through 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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