Recent U.S. sanctions relief following Nicolás Maduro’s January 2026 arrest has unlocked expanded licenses for Chevron, Shell, and trading houses, driving Venezuelan crude output above 1.1 million barrels per day in March and April 2026 per PDVSA and secondary sources. Joint-venture expansions in the Orinoco Belt and inventory drawdowns have lifted exports to a seven-year high of 1.23 million barrels per day, reflecting improved access to heavy-crude markets amid global oversupply pressures. However, decades of underinvestment and infrastructure decay continue to constrain near-term gains, with analyst scenarios projecting a modest rise toward 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end only under sustained capital inflows. Traders monitoring May OPEC and IEA reports will focus on whether additional IOC deals and stable policy conditions can sustain the rebound through 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$111,033 거래량
2027.02.28
110만
98%
120만
78%
130만
45%
140만
11%
150만
7%
170만
4%
200만
4%
$111,033 거래량
110만
$14,523 거래량
98%
120만
$9,230 거래량
78%
130만
$6,900 거래량
45%
140만
$16,881 거래량
11%
150만
$8,029 거래량
7%
170만
$3,757 거래량
4%
200만
$12,636 거래량
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief following Nicolás Maduro’s January 2026 arrest has unlocked expanded licenses for Chevron, Shell, and trading houses, driving Venezuelan crude output above 1.1 million barrels per day in March and April 2026 per PDVSA and secondary sources. Joint-venture expansions in the Orinoco Belt and inventory drawdowns have lifted exports to a seven-year high of 1.23 million barrels per day, reflecting improved access to heavy-crude markets amid global oversupply pressures. However, decades of underinvestment and infrastructure decay continue to constrain near-term gains, with analyst scenarios projecting a modest rise toward 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end only under sustained capital inflows. Traders monitoring May OPEC and IEA reports will focus on whether additional IOC deals and stable policy conditions can sustain the rebound through 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
거래량
$111,033종료일
2027.02.28마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...결과 제안됨: 예
이의 없음
최종 결과: 예
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief following Nicolás Maduro’s January 2026 arrest has unlocked expanded licenses for Chevron, Shell, and trading houses, driving Venezuelan crude output above 1.1 million barrels per day in March and April 2026 per PDVSA and secondary sources. Joint-venture expansions in the Orinoco Belt and inventory drawdowns have lifted exports to a seven-year high of 1.23 million barrels per day, reflecting improved access to heavy-crude markets amid global oversupply pressures. However, decades of underinvestment and infrastructure decay continue to constrain near-term gains, with analyst scenarios projecting a modest rise toward 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end only under sustained capital inflows. Traders monitoring May OPEC and IEA reports will focus on whether additional IOC deals and stable policy conditions can sustain the rebound through 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
거래량
$111,033종료일
2027.02.28마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...결과 제안됨: 예
이의 없음
최종 결과: 예
Recent U.S. sanctions relief following Nicolás Maduro’s January 2026 arrest has unlocked expanded licenses for Chevron, Shell, and trading houses, driving Venezuelan crude output above 1.1 million barrels per day in March and April 2026 per PDVSA and secondary sources. Joint-venture expansions in the Orinoco Belt and inventory drawdowns have lifted exports to a seven-year high of 1.23 million barrels per day, reflecting improved access to heavy-crude markets amid global oversupply pressures. However, decades of underinvestment and infrastructure decay continue to constrain near-term gains, with analyst scenarios projecting a modest rise toward 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end only under sustained capital inflows. Traders monitoring May OPEC and IEA reports will focus on whether additional IOC deals and stable policy conditions can sustain the rebound through 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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