Robust US economic expansion and stable inflation readings through early 2026 have anchored trader expectations that major rating agencies will refrain from another sovereign downgrade before 2027, underpinning the 83% market-implied probability for “No.” With debt-to-GDP holding near 120% and no immediate breach of fiscal thresholds, Moody’s and S&P have maintained current ratings amid contained deficits and resilient Treasury demand. Key upcoming catalysts include the 2026 midterm elections and potential debt-ceiling negotiations, yet current consensus views these as manageable absent abrupt policy reversals or sharp yield spikes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$10,086 Wol.
$10,086 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$10,086 Wol.
$10,086 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Robust US economic expansion and stable inflation readings through early 2026 have anchored trader expectations that major rating agencies will refrain from another sovereign downgrade before 2027, underpinning the 83% market-implied probability for “No.” With debt-to-GDP holding near 120% and no immediate breach of fiscal thresholds, Moody’s and S&P have maintained current ratings amid contained deficits and resilient Treasury demand. Key upcoming catalysts include the 2026 midterm elections and potential debt-ceiling negotiations, yet current consensus views these as manageable absent abrupt policy reversals or sharp yield spikes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$10,086Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Robust US economic expansion and stable inflation readings through early 2026 have anchored trader expectations that major rating agencies will refrain from another sovereign downgrade before 2027, underpinning the 83% market-implied probability for “No.” With debt-to-GDP holding near 120% and no immediate breach of fiscal thresholds, Moody’s and S&P have maintained current ratings amid contained deficits and resilient Treasury demand. Key upcoming catalysts include the 2026 midterm elections and potential debt-ceiling negotiations, yet current consensus views these as manageable absent abrupt policy reversals or sharp yield spikes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$10,086Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Robust US economic expansion and stable inflation readings through early 2026 have anchored trader expectations that major rating agencies will refrain from another sovereign downgrade before 2027, underpinning the 83% market-implied probability for “No.” With debt-to-GDP holding near 120% and no immediate breach of fiscal thresholds, Moody’s and S&P have maintained current ratings amid contained deficits and resilient Treasury demand. Key upcoming catalysts include the 2026 midterm elections and potential debt-ceiling negotiations, yet current consensus views these as manageable absent abrupt policy reversals or sharp yield spikes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania