High procedural barriers and institutional safeguards continue to underpin trader expectations that no STF justice will face successful impeachment before 2027. A late-2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes restricted initiation of such proceedings to the Prosecutor General alone and required a two-thirds Senate majority, a threshold that has historically blocked every one of the more than 100 congressional petitions filed since 2021. Recent April 2026 recommendations from a congressional inquiry targeting Justices Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes over the Banco Master case represent the first formal Senate-level push, yet Senate leadership has shown little inclination to advance them amid competing legislative priorities. These dynamics align with Brazil’s long record of shielding the court from removal attempts, leaving the implied probability for no removal firmly elevated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$70,800 Wol.
$70,800 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$70,800 Wol.
$70,800 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.High procedural barriers and institutional safeguards continue to underpin trader expectations that no STF justice will face successful impeachment before 2027. A late-2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes restricted initiation of such proceedings to the Prosecutor General alone and required a two-thirds Senate majority, a threshold that has historically blocked every one of the more than 100 congressional petitions filed since 2021. Recent April 2026 recommendations from a congressional inquiry targeting Justices Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes over the Banco Master case represent the first formal Senate-level push, yet Senate leadership has shown little inclination to advance them amid competing legislative priorities. These dynamics align with Brazil’s long record of shielding the court from removal attempts, leaving the implied probability for no removal firmly elevated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$70,800Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.High procedural barriers and institutional safeguards continue to underpin trader expectations that no STF justice will face successful impeachment before 2027. A late-2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes restricted initiation of such proceedings to the Prosecutor General alone and required a two-thirds Senate majority, a threshold that has historically blocked every one of the more than 100 congressional petitions filed since 2021. Recent April 2026 recommendations from a congressional inquiry targeting Justices Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes over the Banco Master case represent the first formal Senate-level push, yet Senate leadership has shown little inclination to advance them amid competing legislative priorities. These dynamics align with Brazil’s long record of shielding the court from removal attempts, leaving the implied probability for no removal firmly elevated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$70,800Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...High procedural barriers and institutional safeguards continue to underpin trader expectations that no STF justice will face successful impeachment before 2027. A late-2025 ruling by Justice Gilmar Mendes restricted initiation of such proceedings to the Prosecutor General alone and required a two-thirds Senate majority, a threshold that has historically blocked every one of the more than 100 congressional petitions filed since 2021. Recent April 2026 recommendations from a congressional inquiry targeting Justices Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes over the Banco Master case represent the first formal Senate-level push, yet Senate leadership has shown little inclination to advance them amid competing legislative priorities. These dynamics align with Brazil’s long record of shielding the court from removal attempts, leaving the implied probability for no removal firmly elevated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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