Brazil's Senate has never removed an STF justice through impeachment despite numerous petitions, reflecting the high procedural thresholds that require broad legislative consensus and typically stall such efforts. Recent congressional investigations, including a 2026 report recommending proceedings against justices tied to ethics allegations, have not advanced to Senate approval, consistent with institutional safeguards and the current balance of power ahead of October elections. This record underpins trader consensus around a low probability of removal before 2027. Shifts in Senate composition after the 2026 vote or an unforeseen major scandal could still open pathways, though any process would face significant delays and legal hurdles within the remaining timeframe.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano4% szansa
$83,766 Wol.
$83,766 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
4% szansa
$83,766 Wol.
$83,766 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate has never removed an STF justice through impeachment despite numerous petitions, reflecting the high procedural thresholds that require broad legislative consensus and typically stall such efforts. Recent congressional investigations, including a 2026 report recommending proceedings against justices tied to ethics allegations, have not advanced to Senate approval, consistent with institutional safeguards and the current balance of power ahead of October elections. This record underpins trader consensus around a low probability of removal before 2027. Shifts in Senate composition after the 2026 vote or an unforeseen major scandal could still open pathways, though any process would face significant delays and legal hurdles within the remaining timeframe.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$83,766Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate has never removed an STF justice through impeachment despite numerous petitions, reflecting the high procedural thresholds that require broad legislative consensus and typically stall such efforts. Recent congressional investigations, including a 2026 report recommending proceedings against justices tied to ethics allegations, have not advanced to Senate approval, consistent with institutional safeguards and the current balance of power ahead of October elections. This record underpins trader consensus around a low probability of removal before 2027. Shifts in Senate composition after the 2026 vote or an unforeseen major scandal could still open pathways, though any process would face significant delays and legal hurdles within the remaining timeframe.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$83,766Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Senate has never removed an STF justice through impeachment despite numerous petitions, reflecting the high procedural thresholds that require broad legislative consensus and typically stall such efforts. Recent congressional investigations, including a 2026 report recommending proceedings against justices tied to ethics allegations, have not advanced to Senate approval, consistent with institutional safeguards and the current balance of power ahead of October elections. This record underpins trader consensus around a low probability of removal before 2027. Shifts in Senate composition after the 2026 vote or an unforeseen major scandal could still open pathways, though any process would face significant delays and legal hurdles within the remaining timeframe.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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