Greg Stanton, the Democratic incumbent, secured his party's nomination in the July 21, 2026, primary and enters the November general election in Arizona's 4th congressional district with a significant advantage. The district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4 and urban Maricopa County composition have historically favored Democrats, consistent with Stanton's prior victories. Zuhdi Jasser, the Republican nominee, faces structural headwinds in a seat where Democratic performance in recent cycles has exceeded 55%. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including incumbency benefits and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape before the general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAZ-04 House Election Winner
AZ-04 House Election Winner
$25,728 Wol.
$25,728 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
8%
$25,728 Wol.
$25,728 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,228 Wol.
90%
Republican Party
$6,499 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Greg Stanton, the Democratic incumbent, secured his party's nomination in the July 21, 2026, primary and enters the November general election in Arizona's 4th congressional district with a significant advantage. The district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4 and urban Maricopa County composition have historically favored Democrats, consistent with Stanton's prior victories. Zuhdi Jasser, the Republican nominee, faces structural headwinds in a seat where Democratic performance in recent cycles has exceeded 55%. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including incumbency benefits and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$25,728Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Greg Stanton, the Democratic incumbent, secured his party's nomination in the July 21, 2026, primary and enters the November general election in Arizona's 4th congressional district with a significant advantage. The district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4 and urban Maricopa County composition have historically favored Democrats, consistent with Stanton's prior victories. Zuhdi Jasser, the Republican nominee, faces structural headwinds in a seat where Democratic performance in recent cycles has exceeded 55%. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including incumbency benefits and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$25,728Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Greg Stanton, the Democratic incumbent, secured his party's nomination in the July 21, 2026, primary and enters the November general election in Arizona's 4th congressional district with a significant advantage. The district's Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4 and urban Maricopa County composition have historically favored Democrats, consistent with Stanton's prior victories. Zuhdi Jasser, the Republican nominee, faces structural headwinds in a seat where Democratic performance in recent cycles has exceeded 55%. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including incumbency benefits and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape before the general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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