Recent hawkish signals from Bank of Korea officials, including Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai’s early-May remarks that growth is unlikely to fall much below 2.0 percent while inflation is tracking above the prior 2.2 percent forecast, have driven the 54.0 percent market-implied probability of no change and 42.5 percent odds of an increase at the July 2026 policy meeting. After seven consecutive holds at the 2.50 percent base rate, traders are pricing in a data-dependent shift away from further easing amid rising oil-driven price pressures and resilient semiconductor exports that support activity. The May 28 meeting is now viewed as the next potential inflection point for forward guidance, with inflation remaining the dominant swing factor over growth risks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBank of Korea decision in July?
Bank of Korea decision in July?
No Change 55%
Increase 34%
Decrease 1.3%
$13,396 Wol.
$13,396 Wol.
Jul 16, 2026
Decrease
1%
No Change
55%
Increase
42%
No Change 55%
Increase 34%
Decrease 1.3%
$13,396 Wol.
$13,396 Wol.
Jul 16, 2026
Decrease
$8,878 Wol.
1%
No Change
$1,666 Wol.
55%
Increase
$2,853 Wol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent hawkish signals from Bank of Korea officials, including Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai’s early-May remarks that growth is unlikely to fall much below 2.0 percent while inflation is tracking above the prior 2.2 percent forecast, have driven the 54.0 percent market-implied probability of no change and 42.5 percent odds of an increase at the July 2026 policy meeting. After seven consecutive holds at the 2.50 percent base rate, traders are pricing in a data-dependent shift away from further easing amid rising oil-driven price pressures and resilient semiconductor exports that support activity. The May 28 meeting is now viewed as the next potential inflection point for forward guidance, with inflation remaining the dominant swing factor over growth risks.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Wolumen
$13,396Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent hawkish signals from Bank of Korea officials, including Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai’s early-May remarks that growth is unlikely to fall much below 2.0 percent while inflation is tracking above the prior 2.2 percent forecast, have driven the 54.0 percent market-implied probability of no change and 42.5 percent odds of an increase at the July 2026 policy meeting. After seven consecutive holds at the 2.50 percent base rate, traders are pricing in a data-dependent shift away from further easing amid rising oil-driven price pressures and resilient semiconductor exports that support activity. The May 28 meeting is now viewed as the next potential inflection point for forward guidance, with inflation remaining the dominant swing factor over growth risks.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Wolumen
$13,396Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent hawkish signals from Bank of Korea officials, including Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai’s early-May remarks that growth is unlikely to fall much below 2.0 percent while inflation is tracking above the prior 2.2 percent forecast, have driven the 54.0 percent market-implied probability of no change and 42.5 percent odds of an increase at the July 2026 policy meeting. After seven consecutive holds at the 2.50 percent base rate, traders are pricing in a data-dependent shift away from further easing amid rising oil-driven price pressures and resilient semiconductor exports that support activity. The May 28 meeting is now viewed as the next potential inflection point for forward guidance, with inflation remaining the dominant swing factor over growth risks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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