Recent May CPI data showing a 3.1% year-over-year rise—the highest since early 2024—driven by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions has shifted Bank of Korea (BoK) focus toward inflation risks, prompting an upward revision of the 2026 forecast to 2.7%. At its late-May meeting, the BoK held the base rate at 2.50% for the eighth straight time while the new governor and dot plot signaled a hawkish tilt, with several members projecting rates near 3.00% within six months. Stronger semiconductor-led growth projections at 2.6% for 2026 further support this stance, outweighing earlier easing signals and elevating probabilities of no change or modest hikes ahead of the August decision amid ongoing currency and geopolitical pressures.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBank of Korea decision in August?
25 bps hike 45%
25 bps cut 41%
50+ bps hike 18%
50+ bps cut 4%
50+ bps cut
4%
25 bps cut
41%
No Change
46%
25 bps hike
45%
50+ bps hike
18%
25 bps hike 45%
25 bps cut 41%
50+ bps hike 18%
50+ bps cut 4%
50+ bps cut
4%
25 bps cut
41%
No Change
46%
25 bps hike
45%
50+ bps hike
18%
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Rynek otwarty: May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May CPI data showing a 3.1% year-over-year rise—the highest since early 2024—driven by elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions has shifted Bank of Korea (BoK) focus toward inflation risks, prompting an upward revision of the 2026 forecast to 2.7%. At its late-May meeting, the BoK held the base rate at 2.50% for the eighth straight time while the new governor and dot plot signaled a hawkish tilt, with several members projecting rates near 3.00% within six months. Stronger semiconductor-led growth projections at 2.6% for 2026 further support this stance, outweighing earlier easing signals and elevating probabilities of no change or modest hikes ahead of the August decision amid ongoing currency and geopolitical pressures.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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