The Democratic candidate maintains a dominant position in the CA-04 House race, consistent with the district's strong partisan lean and repeated large margins for Democrats in recent elections. Northern California demographics, including suburban North Bay voters and wine country residents, have produced reliable Democratic support in both presidential and congressional contests. Limited Republican candidate recruitment, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, has further reinforced this outlook ahead of the June primary and November general election. Shifts remain possible through late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unusually high national turnout waves that could boost Republican participation in this otherwise safe seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-04 House Election Winner
CA-04 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$625 Wol.
92%
Republican Party
$1,381 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic candidate maintains a dominant position in the CA-04 House race, consistent with the district's strong partisan lean and repeated large margins for Democrats in recent elections. Northern California demographics, including suburban North Bay voters and wine country residents, have produced reliable Democratic support in both presidential and congressional contests. Limited Republican candidate recruitment, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, has further reinforced this outlook ahead of the June primary and November general election. Shifts remain possible through late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unusually high national turnout waves that could boost Republican participation in this otherwise safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,006Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic candidate maintains a dominant position in the CA-04 House race, consistent with the district's strong partisan lean and repeated large margins for Democrats in recent elections. Northern California demographics, including suburban North Bay voters and wine country residents, have produced reliable Democratic support in both presidential and congressional contests. Limited Republican candidate recruitment, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, has further reinforced this outlook ahead of the June primary and November general election. Shifts remain possible through late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unusually high national turnout waves that could boost Republican participation in this otherwise safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$2,006Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic candidate maintains a dominant position in the CA-04 House race, consistent with the district's strong partisan lean and repeated large margins for Democrats in recent elections. Northern California demographics, including suburban North Bay voters and wine country residents, have produced reliable Democratic support in both presidential and congressional contests. Limited Republican candidate recruitment, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, has further reinforced this outlook ahead of the June primary and November general election. Shifts remain possible through late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unusually high national turnout waves that could boost Republican participation in this otherwise safe seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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