Recent stabilization of Canada’s headline CPI at 3.0% year-over-year through August 2026, driven by elevated gasoline prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, has kept the 2026 annual average inflation outlook finely balanced between the 3.0–3.4% and 2.5–2.9% ranges. Bank of Canada core measures (trim and median) remain near the 2% target while ex-food-and-energy readings hover around 2.1–2.4%, underscoring contained underlying pressures that could support a lower annual outcome if energy costs moderate. Persistent oil-price volatility, potential pass-through to broader goods and services, CAD movements, and shelter rent trends represent key swing factors, with the Bank’s recent 25-basis-point cut to 2.50% and upcoming CPI prints highlighting the data-dependent path. Trader consensus in Polymarket reflects this uncertainty, pricing in roughly even odds between the two leading brackets as markets weigh near-term energy risks against cooling base effects.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCanada Annual Inflation 2026
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
3.0-3.4% 36.3%
2.5–2.9% 34.7%
3.5-3.9% 15.0%
2.0–2.4% 6.8%
$42,211 Wol.
$42,211 Wol.
Jan 17, 2027
<1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
3%
1.5–1.9%
1%
2.0–2.4%
7%
2.5–2.9%
35%
3.0-3.4%
36%
3.5-3.9%
15%
4.0%+
4%
3.0-3.4% 36.3%
2.5–2.9% 34.7%
3.5-3.9% 15.0%
2.0–2.4% 6.8%
$42,211 Wol.
$42,211 Wol.
Jan 17, 2027
<1.0%
$1,225 Wol.
1%
1.0–1.4%
$5,465 Wol.
3%
1.5–1.9%
$3,466 Wol.
1%
2.0–2.4%
$2,656 Wol.
7%
2.5–2.9%
$10,244 Wol.
35%
3.0-3.4%
$14,363 Wol.
36%
3.5-3.9%
$4,254 Wol.
15%
4.0%+
$539 Wol.
4%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent stabilization of Canada’s headline CPI at 3.0% year-over-year through August 2026, driven by elevated gasoline prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, has kept the 2026 annual average inflation outlook finely balanced between the 3.0–3.4% and 2.5–2.9% ranges. Bank of Canada core measures (trim and median) remain near the 2% target while ex-food-and-energy readings hover around 2.1–2.4%, underscoring contained underlying pressures that could support a lower annual outcome if energy costs moderate. Persistent oil-price volatility, potential pass-through to broader goods and services, CAD movements, and shelter rent trends represent key swing factors, with the Bank’s recent 25-basis-point cut to 2.50% and upcoming CPI prints highlighting the data-dependent path. Trader consensus in Polymarket reflects this uncertainty, pricing in roughly even odds between the two leading brackets as markets weigh near-term energy risks against cooling base effects.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Wolumen
$42,211Data zakończenia
Jan 18, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent stabilization of Canada’s headline CPI at 3.0% year-over-year through August 2026, driven by elevated gasoline prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, has kept the 2026 annual average inflation outlook finely balanced between the 3.0–3.4% and 2.5–2.9% ranges. Bank of Canada core measures (trim and median) remain near the 2% target while ex-food-and-energy readings hover around 2.1–2.4%, underscoring contained underlying pressures that could support a lower annual outcome if energy costs moderate. Persistent oil-price volatility, potential pass-through to broader goods and services, CAD movements, and shelter rent trends represent key swing factors, with the Bank’s recent 25-basis-point cut to 2.50% and upcoming CPI prints highlighting the data-dependent path. Trader consensus in Polymarket reflects this uncertainty, pricing in roughly even odds between the two leading brackets as markets weigh near-term energy risks against cooling base effects.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Wolumen
$42,211Data zakończenia
Jan 18, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Recent stabilization of Canada’s headline CPI at 3.0% year-over-year through August 2026, driven by elevated gasoline prices amid Middle East supply disruptions, has kept the 2026 annual average inflation outlook finely balanced between the 3.0–3.4% and 2.5–2.9% ranges. Bank of Canada core measures (trim and median) remain near the 2% target while ex-food-and-energy readings hover around 2.1–2.4%, underscoring contained underlying pressures that could support a lower annual outcome if energy costs moderate. Persistent oil-price volatility, potential pass-through to broader goods and services, CAD movements, and shelter rent trends represent key swing factors, with the Bank’s recent 25-basis-point cut to 2.50% and upcoming CPI prints highlighting the data-dependent path. Trader consensus in Polymarket reflects this uncertainty, pricing in roughly even odds between the two leading brackets as markets weigh near-term energy risks against cooling base effects.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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