Ohio's position as the leading contender reflects recent primary outcomes and polling showing a narrow contest between Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy, with margins under 2 points in multiple surveys. Similar dynamics apply in Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas, where open seats after term-limited or retiring incumbents have produced competitive matchups and shifting primary results that keep projected general-election spreads tight. These states feature mixed partisan leans, independent voter blocs, and limited historical data on the current candidate fields, sustaining uncertainty ahead of November 3. Fresh developments such as candidate endorsements, debate performances, or economic indicators could widen or narrow margins in any of the listed races.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOhio 18.2%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
Iowa 11.8%
$11,682 Wol.
$11,682 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ohio
18%
Wisconsin
13%
Kansas
12%
Iowa
12%
Texas
12%
Alaska
11%
Florida
13%
Georgia
10%
New Hampshire
9%
Nevada
7%
Michigan
5%
Vermont
4%
Oregon
3%
Minnesota
3%
Maine
3%
Colorado
2%
New Mexico
2%
Arizona
1%
Ohio 18.2%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
Iowa 11.8%
$11,682 Wol.
$11,682 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ohio
$423 Wol.
18%
Wisconsin
$970 Wol.
13%
Kansas
$2,109 Wol.
12%
Iowa
$1,480 Wol.
12%
Texas
$1,569 Wol.
12%
Alaska
$207 Wol.
11%
Florida
$224 Wol.
13%
Georgia
$297 Wol.
10%
New Hampshire
$272 Wol.
9%
Nevada
$2,034 Wol.
7%
Michigan
$329 Wol.
5%
Vermont
$176 Wol.
4%
Oregon
$319 Wol.
3%
Minnesota
$214 Wol.
3%
Maine
$355 Wol.
3%
Colorado
$243 Wol.
2%
New Mexico
$194 Wol.
2%
Arizona
$269 Wol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ohio's position as the leading contender reflects recent primary outcomes and polling showing a narrow contest between Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy, with margins under 2 points in multiple surveys. Similar dynamics apply in Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas, where open seats after term-limited or retiring incumbents have produced competitive matchups and shifting primary results that keep projected general-election spreads tight. These states feature mixed partisan leans, independent voter blocs, and limited historical data on the current candidate fields, sustaining uncertainty ahead of November 3. Fresh developments such as candidate endorsements, debate performances, or economic indicators could widen or narrow margins in any of the listed races.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$11,682Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ohio's position as the leading contender reflects recent primary outcomes and polling showing a narrow contest between Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy, with margins under 2 points in multiple surveys. Similar dynamics apply in Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas, where open seats after term-limited or retiring incumbents have produced competitive matchups and shifting primary results that keep projected general-election spreads tight. These states feature mixed partisan leans, independent voter blocs, and limited historical data on the current candidate fields, sustaining uncertainty ahead of November 3. Fresh developments such as candidate endorsements, debate performances, or economic indicators could widen or narrow margins in any of the listed races.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$11,682Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ohio's position as the leading contender reflects recent primary outcomes and polling showing a narrow contest between Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy, with margins under 2 points in multiple surveys. Similar dynamics apply in Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas, where open seats after term-limited or retiring incumbents have produced competitive matchups and shifting primary results that keep projected general-election spreads tight. These states feature mixed partisan leans, independent voter blocs, and limited historical data on the current candidate fields, sustaining uncertainty ahead of November 3. Fresh developments such as candidate endorsements, debate performances, or economic indicators could widen or narrow margins in any of the listed races.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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