Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting pattern on X drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 160-219 tweets for the August 18-25 week, with the 180-199 bracket leading at 20.5%. Recent analyses show his weekly output often lands near 200-300 posts depending on the period, fueled by real-time commentary on Tesla and SpaceX developments, AI updates, political topics, and replies that can push daily counts from the low teens to over 100 during active stretches. The narrow spread among top bins reflects trader awareness of this inherent variability—week-to-week swings tied to breaking news cycles or quiet periods—while the absence of major scheduled events or controversies in the immediate window keeps the consensus centered on his typical cadence rather than an outlier surge or slowdown.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano180-199 21%
160-179 20%
200-219 19%
140-159 15%
$123,066 Wol.
$123,066 Wol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
2%
120-139
6%
140-159
15%
160-179
20%
180-199
21%
200-219
19%
220-239
10%
240-259
6%
260-279
3%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 21%
160-179 20%
200-219 19%
140-159 15%
$123,066 Wol.
$123,066 Wol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
2%
120-139
6%
140-159
15%
160-179
20%
180-199
21%
200-219
19%
220-239
10%
240-259
6%
260-279
3%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting pattern on X drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 160-219 tweets for the August 18-25 week, with the 180-199 bracket leading at 20.5%. Recent analyses show his weekly output often lands near 200-300 posts depending on the period, fueled by real-time commentary on Tesla and SpaceX developments, AI updates, political topics, and replies that can push daily counts from the low teens to over 100 during active stretches. The narrow spread among top bins reflects trader awareness of this inherent variability—week-to-week swings tied to breaking news cycles or quiet periods—while the absence of major scheduled events or controversies in the immediate window keeps the consensus centered on his typical cadence rather than an outlier surge or slowdown.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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