Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.5% for former Rep. Eric Swalwell's arrest by May 31, driven by the absence of formal charges despite serious sexual assault allegations surfacing in mid-April 2026. Multiple accusers prompted investigations by the Manhattan and Los Angeles district attorneys, leading Swalwell to resign from Congress and suspend his California governor bid, but no indictments, arrests, or DOJ actions have materialized in the past month. Arrests of prominent figures require probable cause, warrants, and swift prosecutorial moves, which procedural timelines make improbable within two weeks. This reflects bettors' assessment of legal hurdles over unverified claims. Only surprise indictments or federal escalation could alter outcomes before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$12,776 Wol.
$12,776 Wol.
May 31, 2026
$12,776 Wol.
$12,776 Wol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.5% for former Rep. Eric Swalwell's arrest by May 31, driven by the absence of formal charges despite serious sexual assault allegations surfacing in mid-April 2026. Multiple accusers prompted investigations by the Manhattan and Los Angeles district attorneys, leading Swalwell to resign from Congress and suspend his California governor bid, but no indictments, arrests, or DOJ actions have materialized in the past month. Arrests of prominent figures require probable cause, warrants, and swift prosecutorial moves, which procedural timelines make improbable within two weeks. This reflects bettors' assessment of legal hurdles over unverified claims. Only surprise indictments or federal escalation could alter outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$12,776Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.5% for former Rep. Eric Swalwell's arrest by May 31, driven by the absence of formal charges despite serious sexual assault allegations surfacing in mid-April 2026. Multiple accusers prompted investigations by the Manhattan and Los Angeles district attorneys, leading Swalwell to resign from Congress and suspend his California governor bid, but no indictments, arrests, or DOJ actions have materialized in the past month. Arrests of prominent figures require probable cause, warrants, and swift prosecutorial moves, which procedural timelines make improbable within two weeks. This reflects bettors' assessment of legal hurdles over unverified claims. Only surprise indictments or federal escalation could alter outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$12,776Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.5% for former Rep. Eric Swalwell's arrest by May 31, driven by the absence of formal charges despite serious sexual assault allegations surfacing in mid-April 2026. Multiple accusers prompted investigations by the Manhattan and Los Angeles district attorneys, leading Swalwell to resign from Congress and suspend his California governor bid, but no indictments, arrests, or DOJ actions have materialized in the past month. Arrests of prominent figures require probable cause, warrants, and swift prosecutorial moves, which procedural timelines make improbable within two weeks. This reflects bettors' assessment of legal hurdles over unverified claims. Only surprise indictments or federal escalation could alter outcomes before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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