Strong trader consensus around a Pause-Pause-Pause outcome for the Federal Reserve’s April, June, and July 2026 meetings reflects the central bank’s decision at its April 29 gathering to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75 percent amid persistent inflation pressures and geopolitical uncertainty. Recent Middle East developments have elevated energy prices, keeping headline inflation elevated and prompting analysts at major banks to push back expectations for any easing until late 2027 or beyond. Resilient labor-market data and solid economic growth further support the market-implied odds of continued restraint. A rapid moderation in core inflation readings or a sharper slowdown in employment could still alter the path, though such shifts would need to materialize before the June dot plot to meaningfully shift probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Pause–Pause–Pause 93%
Pause–Pause–Cut 4.5%
Other 2.9%
Pause–Cut–Cut <1%
$49,033 Wol.
$49,033 Wol.
Jul 29, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
93%
Pause–Pause–Cut
4%
Pause–Cut–Pause
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%
Other
3%
Pause–Pause–Pause 93%
Pause–Pause–Cut 4.5%
Other 2.9%
Pause–Cut–Cut <1%
$49,033 Wol.
$49,033 Wol.
Jul 29, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$2,597 Wol.
93%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$1,665 Wol.
4%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$1,568 Wol.
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$1,622 Wol.
1%
Other
$1,595 Wol.
3%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmStrong trader consensus around a Pause-Pause-Pause outcome for the Federal Reserve’s April, June, and July 2026 meetings reflects the central bank’s decision at its April 29 gathering to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75 percent amid persistent inflation pressures and geopolitical uncertainty. Recent Middle East developments have elevated energy prices, keeping headline inflation elevated and prompting analysts at major banks to push back expectations for any easing until late 2027 or beyond. Resilient labor-market data and solid economic growth further support the market-implied odds of continued restraint. A rapid moderation in core inflation readings or a sharper slowdown in employment could still alter the path, though such shifts would need to materialize before the June dot plot to meaningfully shift probabilities.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Rynek otwarty: Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Wolumen
$49,033Data zakończenia
Jul 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmStrong trader consensus around a Pause-Pause-Pause outcome for the Federal Reserve’s April, June, and July 2026 meetings reflects the central bank’s decision at its April 29 gathering to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75 percent amid persistent inflation pressures and geopolitical uncertainty. Recent Middle East developments have elevated energy prices, keeping headline inflation elevated and prompting analysts at major banks to push back expectations for any easing until late 2027 or beyond. Resilient labor-market data and solid economic growth further support the market-implied odds of continued restraint. A rapid moderation in core inflation readings or a sharper slowdown in employment could still alter the path, though such shifts would need to materialize before the June dot plot to meaningfully shift probabilities.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Wolumen
$49,033Data zakończenia
Jul 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus around a Pause-Pause-Pause outcome for the Federal Reserve’s April, June, and July 2026 meetings reflects the central bank’s decision at its April 29 gathering to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75 percent amid persistent inflation pressures and geopolitical uncertainty. Recent Middle East developments have elevated energy prices, keeping headline inflation elevated and prompting analysts at major banks to push back expectations for any easing until late 2027 or beyond. Resilient labor-market data and solid economic growth further support the market-implied odds of continued restraint. A rapid moderation in core inflation readings or a sharper slowdown in employment could still alter the path, though such shifts would need to materialize before the June dot plot to meaningfully shift probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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