Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover through early September 2026, has suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or below seasonal norms. Official IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overcast skies with moderate rain or thunderstorms likely through September 4, limiting solar insolation and capping highs around 30–31°C. This aligns with current market-implied odds favoring those outcomes, as traders weigh ongoing low-pressure influences and high humidity against typical September averages near 33°C. Short-term model runs show limited warming potential before the next IMD update, though any break in cloud cover could shift probabilities toward 32°C or higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 4?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 4?
31°C 43%
30°C 28%
32°C 15%
29°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
12%
30°C
28%
31°C
43%
32°C
14%
33°C
9%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
3%
31°C 43%
30°C 28%
32°C 15%
29°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
26°C
$0 Wol.
1%
27°C
$0 Wol.
3%
28°C
$2 Wol.
5%
29°C
$24 Wol.
12%
30°C
$6 Wol.
28%
31°C
$43 Wol.
43%
32°C
$20 Wol.
14%
33°C
$0 Wol.
9%
34°C
$0 Wol.
6%
35°C or higher
$0 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover through early September 2026, has suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or below seasonal norms. Official IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overcast skies with moderate rain or thunderstorms likely through September 4, limiting solar insolation and capping highs around 30–31°C. This aligns with current market-implied odds favoring those outcomes, as traders weigh ongoing low-pressure influences and high humidity against typical September averages near 33°C. Short-term model runs show limited warming potential before the next IMD update, though any break in cloud cover could shift probabilities toward 32°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$97Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover through early September 2026, has suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or below seasonal norms. Official IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overcast skies with moderate rain or thunderstorms likely through September 4, limiting solar insolation and capping highs around 30–31°C. This aligns with current market-implied odds favoring those outcomes, as traders weigh ongoing low-pressure influences and high humidity against typical September averages near 33°C. Short-term model runs show limited warming potential before the next IMD update, though any break in cloud cover could shift probabilities toward 32°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$97Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover through early September 2026, has suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or below seasonal norms. Official IMD guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overcast skies with moderate rain or thunderstorms likely through September 4, limiting solar insolation and capping highs around 30–31°C. This aligns with current market-implied odds favoring those outcomes, as traders weigh ongoing low-pressure influences and high humidity against typical September averages near 33°C. Short-term model runs show limited warming potential before the next IMD update, though any break in cloud cover could shift probabilities toward 32°C or higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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