Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Service points to a daily maximum near 25–26°C in Mexico City on June 16, driven by typical early wet-season conditions at 2,240 m elevation. Afternoon convection and variable cloud cover are expected to limit strong warming, while light winds and urban heat island effects could nudge readings slightly higher at official stations. Ensemble spreads remain tight because of modest model disagreement on exact shower timing and intensity, keeping 25°C and 26°C as the clear market leaders over cooler or hotter outliers. Updated guidance later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 16?
26°C 32%
25°C 23%
24°C 16%
27°C 6.6%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
16%
25°C
23%
26°C
32%
27°C
7%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
3%
26°C 32%
25°C 23%
24°C 16%
27°C 6.6%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 16, 2026
19°C or below
$5 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$60 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$30 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$20 Wol.
2%
23°C
$0 Wol.
4%
24°C
$20 Wol.
16%
25°C
$0 Wol.
23%
26°C
$1 Wol.
32%
27°C
$0 Wol.
7%
28°C
$0 Wol.
5%
29°C or higher
$0 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Service points to a daily maximum near 25–26°C in Mexico City on June 16, driven by typical early wet-season conditions at 2,240 m elevation. Afternoon convection and variable cloud cover are expected to limit strong warming, while light winds and urban heat island effects could nudge readings slightly higher at official stations. Ensemble spreads remain tight because of modest model disagreement on exact shower timing and intensity, keeping 25°C and 26°C as the clear market leaders over cooler or hotter outliers. Updated guidance later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$137Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Service points to a daily maximum near 25–26°C in Mexico City on June 16, driven by typical early wet-season conditions at 2,240 m elevation. Afternoon convection and variable cloud cover are expected to limit strong warming, while light winds and urban heat island effects could nudge readings slightly higher at official stations. Ensemble spreads remain tight because of modest model disagreement on exact shower timing and intensity, keeping 25°C and 26°C as the clear market leaders over cooler or hotter outliers. Updated guidance later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$137Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Service points to a daily maximum near 25–26°C in Mexico City on June 16, driven by typical early wet-season conditions at 2,240 m elevation. Afternoon convection and variable cloud cover are expected to limit strong warming, while light winds and urban heat island effects could nudge readings slightly higher at official stations. Ensemble spreads remain tight because of modest model disagreement on exact shower timing and intensity, keeping 25°C and 26°C as the clear market leaders over cooler or hotter outliers. Updated guidance later today could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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