Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a Sao Paulo maximum temperature on June 16 most likely between 18–20°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and light drizzle associated with a weak frontal boundary are limiting daytime heating below the seasonal average of roughly 22–23°C, while variable wind patterns and humidity levels create small but decisive differences between 18°C, 19°C, and 20°C scenarios. Official INMET station data will resolve the market, with urban heat-island effects and any late-day clearing potentially pushing readings toward the higher end of current projections. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader sentiment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 16?
19°C 33%
20°C 31%
18°C 24%
21°C 5.8%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
24%
19°C
33%
20°C
31%
21°C
6%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 33%
20°C 31%
18°C 24%
21°C 5.8%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
24%
19°C
33%
20°C
31%
21°C
6%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a Sao Paulo maximum temperature on June 16 most likely between 18–20°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and light drizzle associated with a weak frontal boundary are limiting daytime heating below the seasonal average of roughly 22–23°C, while variable wind patterns and humidity levels create small but decisive differences between 18°C, 19°C, and 20°C scenarios. Official INMET station data will resolve the market, with urban heat-island effects and any late-day clearing potentially pushing readings toward the higher end of current projections. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader sentiment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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