Recent official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum temperature of 24–26°C in Mexico City on September 9, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, intervals of showers, and potential thunderstorms that typically cap daytime heating at this high-altitude site. Late-summer monsoon moisture and variable winds favor afternoon convection, which can suppress peaks below model guidance, while clearer breaks or stronger insolation could allow readings to reach 25°C or higher. Trader consensus, reflected in the close 43% implied probability for 24°C versus 33.5% for 25°C+, centers on these variables, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational maximum reported by official stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
25°C or higher 45%
24°C 34%
23°C 17%
22°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
17%
24°C
34%
25°C or higher
45%
25°C or higher 45%
24°C 34%
23°C 17%
22°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
15°C or below
$125 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$125 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$125 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$125 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$56 Wol.
1%
20°C
$89 Wol.
2%
21°C
$354 Wol.
3%
22°C
$270 Wol.
5%
23°C
$507 Wol.
17%
24°C
$1,366 Wol.
34%
25°C or higher
$1,128 Wol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum temperature of 24–26°C in Mexico City on September 9, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, intervals of showers, and potential thunderstorms that typically cap daytime heating at this high-altitude site. Late-summer monsoon moisture and variable winds favor afternoon convection, which can suppress peaks below model guidance, while clearer breaks or stronger insolation could allow readings to reach 25°C or higher. Trader consensus, reflected in the close 43% implied probability for 24°C versus 33.5% for 25°C+, centers on these variables, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational maximum reported by official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,271Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum temperature of 24–26°C in Mexico City on September 9, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, intervals of showers, and potential thunderstorms that typically cap daytime heating at this high-altitude site. Late-summer monsoon moisture and variable winds favor afternoon convection, which can suppress peaks below model guidance, while clearer breaks or stronger insolation could allow readings to reach 25°C or higher. Trader consensus, reflected in the close 43% implied probability for 24°C versus 33.5% for 25°C+, centers on these variables, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational maximum reported by official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,271Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum temperature of 24–26°C in Mexico City on September 9, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, intervals of showers, and potential thunderstorms that typically cap daytime heating at this high-altitude site. Late-summer monsoon moisture and variable winds favor afternoon convection, which can suppress peaks below model guidance, while clearer breaks or stronger insolation could allow readings to reach 25°C or higher. Trader consensus, reflected in the close 43% implied probability for 24°C versus 33.5% for 25°C+, centers on these variables, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational maximum reported by official stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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