**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear to partly cloudy skies are positioning Milan for a peak temperature near 30°C on September 2, 2026.** Multiple official and model-based forecasts from sources including ilMeteo, Yr.no, and Worldmeteo indicate afternoon highs of 30–31°C under light winds (under 5 km/h) and negligible precipitation, consistent with early-September climatology in the Po Valley where insolation remains strong but seasonal cooling begins. Morning observations around 21–26°C rising steadily through midday align with this trajectory, with dew points near 15–19°C supporting efficient daytime heating without excessive humidity suppression. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 30°C and 37% for 29°C, captures the tight clustering of model outputs around this range, while the modest 14% on 31°C accounts for minor upside variability from localized heating or forecast adjustments. Higher thresholds above 32°C carry only 1.1% odds given the absence of heatwave amplification or southerly flow. As the day progresses, updated observational data and short-range model runs will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on September 2?
30°C 65%
31°C 23%
29°C 19%
32°C or higher 1.1%
$23,931 Wol.
$23,931 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
19%
30°C
59%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
1%
30°C 65%
31°C 23%
29°C 19%
32°C or higher 1.1%
$23,931 Wol.
$23,931 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
19%
30°C
59%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear to partly cloudy skies are positioning Milan for a peak temperature near 30°C on September 2, 2026.** Multiple official and model-based forecasts from sources including ilMeteo, Yr.no, and Worldmeteo indicate afternoon highs of 30–31°C under light winds (under 5 km/h) and negligible precipitation, consistent with early-September climatology in the Po Valley where insolation remains strong but seasonal cooling begins. Morning observations around 21–26°C rising steadily through midday align with this trajectory, with dew points near 15–19°C supporting efficient daytime heating without excessive humidity suppression. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 30°C and 37% for 29°C, captures the tight clustering of model outputs around this range, while the modest 14% on 31°C accounts for minor upside variability from localized heating or forecast adjustments. Higher thresholds above 32°C carry only 1.1% odds given the absence of heatwave amplification or southerly flow. As the day progresses, updated observational data and short-range model runs will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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