Current numerical weather model consensus from sources including DWD and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 21°C in Munich on September 18, supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that outcome. Westerly winds and mostly cloudy conditions are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping values close to the 19.4°C long-term average high while limiting the upside potential for 22°C or higher. Recent model runs show strong agreement on this range with minimal precipitation risk, reducing uncertainty in the short forecast window. Traders appear to weigh these stable late-summer patterns heavily against historical variability on the date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on September 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 18?
21°C 55%
20°C 29%
22°C 14%
19°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
29%
21°C
55%
22°C
14%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 55%
20°C 29%
22°C 14%
19°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
17°C or below
$366 Wol.
1%
18°C
$135 Wol.
2%
19°C
$111 Wol.
4%
20°C
$885 Wol.
29%
21°C
$684 Wol.
55%
22°C
$139 Wol.
14%
23°C
$357 Wol.
4%
24°C
$351 Wol.
2%
25°C
$247 Wol.
1%
26°C
$159 Wol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$159 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather model consensus from sources including DWD and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 21°C in Munich on September 18, supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that outcome. Westerly winds and mostly cloudy conditions are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping values close to the 19.4°C long-term average high while limiting the upside potential for 22°C or higher. Recent model runs show strong agreement on this range with minimal precipitation risk, reducing uncertainty in the short forecast window. Traders appear to weigh these stable late-summer patterns heavily against historical variability on the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,592Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather model consensus from sources including DWD and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 21°C in Munich on September 18, supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that outcome. Westerly winds and mostly cloudy conditions are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping values close to the 19.4°C long-term average high while limiting the upside potential for 22°C or higher. Recent model runs show strong agreement on this range with minimal precipitation risk, reducing uncertainty in the short forecast window. Traders appear to weigh these stable late-summer patterns heavily against historical variability on the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,592Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather model consensus from sources including DWD and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 21°C in Munich on September 18, supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that outcome. Westerly winds and mostly cloudy conditions are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping values close to the 19.4°C long-term average high while limiting the upside potential for 22°C or higher. Recent model runs show strong agreement on this range with minimal precipitation risk, reducing uncertainty in the short forecast window. Traders appear to weigh these stable late-summer patterns heavily against historical variability on the date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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