Persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the cool Pacific are capping daytime warming in San Francisco on August 13, 2026, aligning National Weather Service guidance with a most likely high near 67°F. This typical late-summer pattern—driven by upwelling and stratus clouds—explains the market's concentration on 66–69°F outcomes, consistent with climatological normals of 67°F and recent model runs showing limited inland heat advection. Traders are pricing in low odds for 70°F+ readings absent a stronger offshore flow or clearing trend, with resolution tied to official observations at San Francisco International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 13?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 13?
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 26%
70-71°F 24%
64-65°F 6%
NOWE
$11,831 Wol.
NOWE
$11,831 Wol.
Aug 13, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
42%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 26%
70-71°F 24%
64-65°F 6%
NOWE
$11,831 Wol.
NOWE
$11,831 Wol.
Aug 13, 2026
57°F or below
$1,388 Wol.
<1%
58-59°F
$625 Wol.
1%
60-61°F
$1,445 Wol.
1%
62-63°F
$1,016 Wol.
3%
64-65°F
$1,386 Wol.
6%
66-67°F
$738 Wol.
26%
68-69°F
$953 Wol.
42%
70-71°F
$1,213 Wol.
24%
72-73°F
$1,179 Wol.
4%
74-75°F
$1,542 Wol.
<1%
76°F or higher
$346 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the cool Pacific are capping daytime warming in San Francisco on August 13, 2026, aligning National Weather Service guidance with a most likely high near 67°F. This typical late-summer pattern—driven by upwelling and stratus clouds—explains the market's concentration on 66–69°F outcomes, consistent with climatological normals of 67°F and recent model runs showing limited inland heat advection. Traders are pricing in low odds for 70°F+ readings absent a stronger offshore flow or clearing trend, with resolution tied to official observations at San Francisco International Airport.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$11,831Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the cool Pacific are capping daytime warming in San Francisco on August 13, 2026, aligning National Weather Service guidance with a most likely high near 67°F. This typical late-summer pattern—driven by upwelling and stratus clouds—explains the market's concentration on 66–69°F outcomes, consistent with climatological normals of 67°F and recent model runs showing limited inland heat advection. Traders are pricing in low odds for 70°F+ readings absent a stronger offshore flow or clearing trend, with resolution tied to official observations at San Francisco International Airport.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$11,831Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the cool Pacific are capping daytime warming in San Francisco on August 13, 2026, aligning National Weather Service guidance with a most likely high near 67°F. This typical late-summer pattern—driven by upwelling and stratus clouds—explains the market's concentration on 66–69°F outcomes, consistent with climatological normals of 67°F and recent model runs showing limited inland heat advection. Traders are pricing in low odds for 70°F+ readings absent a stronger offshore flow or clearing trend, with resolution tied to official observations at San Francisco International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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